Leyton Orient v Arsenal U21: numbers & prediction

Leyton Orient vs Arsenal U21: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

19:00 WAT, Tuesday 15 September: Leyton Orient v Arsenal U21 in the EFL Trophy, played at Brisbane Road. In the table, Leyton Orient are 1st on 9 points after 3 matches; Arsenal U21 are 4th with 3.

Current form

Leyton Orient, last 5: LLDWL Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Wycombe, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Arsenal U21, last 5: LDDLL Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Chelsea U21, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.8 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Leyton Orient, collecting 0.8 points per game to 0.3 for Arsenal U21.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Leyton Orient 3.0 xG, Arsenal U21 1.5 xG – a total near 4.5. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 83% and GG at 69%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

• 1X2 according to our numbers – Leyton Orient 63%, draw 22%, Arsenal U21 15%.
• Lower-risk option: Leyton Orient or draw (85%) at 1.17.
• GG/NG: GG (69%) at 1.50.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (69%, odds 1.50 – longer than our fair 1.44, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Leyton Orient 2–1 Arsenal U21. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.