Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Picks by market
ResultBúzios to win ✓52% · @1.83
Double chanceBúzios or draw ✓78% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · fair 1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.42
Búzios vs Barra Mansa: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Barra Mansa travel to face Búzios on Sunday 19 July in the Carioca C – the ball rolls at 18:00 WAT.
Current form
Búzios, last 4: DWWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with EC Resende, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Barra Mansa, last 3: DDD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Uni Souza, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Búzios, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.0 for Barra Mansa.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Búzios 1.5 xG, Barra Mansa 0.9 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 48%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Búzios 52%, draw 26%, Barra Mansa 22%.
Lower-risk option: Búzios or draw (78%) at 1.22.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Búzios or draw (78%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Búzios 1–0 Barra Mansa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Búzios52%fair 1.92 · @1.83
Draw26%fair 3.82 · @3.20
Barra Mansa22%fair 4.61 · @3.80
2.38Expected goals
1.46Búzios xG
0.92Barra Mansa xG
48%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
1–112%
2–010%
0–09%
2–19%
0–19%
From our goals model: Búzios 1.5 – 0.9 Barra Mansa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Búzios to win✓
52%
1.92
1.83
Double chance
Búzios or draw✓
78%
1.28
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
52%
1.91
–
Draw no bet
Búzios (draw no bet)✓
71%
1.42
–
Asian handicap
Barra Mansa +1 (Asian handicap)✗
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.76
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
Búzios to score first✓
56%
1.80
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Búzios / FT Búzios✓
29%
3.39
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.42
–
Recent results
Búzios – last 4
DWWL
12 Jul
vs EC Resende
1–1
D
6 Jul
@ EC Resende
1–0
W
28 Jun
@ Barcelona RJ
7–0
W
8 Jun
vs Cardoso Moreira
0–2
L
2.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Barra Mansa – last 3
DDD
12 Jul
vs Uni Souza
0–0
D
7 Jul
@ Uni Souza
0–0
D
3 Jul
vs Cardoso Moreira
2–2
D
0.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Búzios and Barra Mansa.
Our pick is Búzios or draw with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Búzios vs Barra Mansa?
On our numbers Búzios have a 52% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Barra Mansa 22%.
How many goals will there be in Búzios vs Barra Mansa?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Búzios vs Barra Mansa?
Our predicted score is Búzios 1–0 Barra Mansa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Búzios vs Barra Mansa?
Búzios vs Barra Mansa (Carioca C) kicks off on Sunday 19 July 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Carioca C · Brazil
