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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Barra Mansa v Búzios: numbers & prediction

Carioca C · Brazil

Barra Mansa

LDDD
0–2
FT

Búzios

WDWWL
Barra Mansa 50%Draw 26%Búzios 24% Expected goals 1.40 – 1.04
54%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.84 · bookmaker 1.80 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
1.80Odds

Picks by market

ResultBarra Mansa to win ✗50% · @1.75
Double chanceBarra Mansa or draw ✗76% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · fair 1.92
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.21

Barra Mansa vs Búzios: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

18:45 WAT, Thursday 23 July: Barra Mansa v Búzios in the Carioca C.

Current form

Barra Mansa, last 4: LDDD Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Búzios, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Búzios, last 5: WDWWL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Barra Mansa, at home. The attack is flying at 2.4 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Búzios, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.8 for Barra Mansa.

Head to head

When they last met (19 Jul 2026) it ended Búzios 3–0 Barra Mansa.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Barra Mansa 1.4 xG, Búzios 1.0 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 48%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Barra Mansa 50%, draw 26%, Búzios 24%.
  • Lower-risk option: Barra Mansa or draw (76%) at 1.17.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (54%, odds 1.80). Most likely score in line with that pick: Barra Mansa 1–1 Búzios. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Barra Mansa50%fair 2.00 · @1.75
Draw26%fair 3.81 · @3.40
Búzios24%fair 4.21 · @4.00
2.44Expected goals
1.40Barra Mansa xG
1.04Búzios xG
48%Both score
46%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–012%
0–19%
2–19%
0–09%
2–09%

From our goals model: Barra Mansa 1.4 – 1.0 Búzios expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBarra Mansa to win ✗50%2.001.75
Double chanceBarra Mansa or draw ✗76%1.311.17
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓52%1.92–
Draw no betBarra Mansa (draw no bet) ✗68%1.48–
Asian handicapBúzios +1 (Asian handicap) ✓72%1.39–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓70%1.43–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓54%1.841.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77%1.30–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓90%1.11–
First team to scoreBarra Mansa to score first ✗52%1.91–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓45%2.25–
Half-time / full-timeHT Barra Mansa / FT Barra Mansa ✗26%3.78–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12%8.21–

Recent results

Barra Mansa – last 4

LDDD
19 Jul@ Búzios0–3L
12 Julvs Uni Souza0–0D
7 Jul@ Uni Souza0–0D
3 Julvs Cardoso Moreira2–2D
0.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
25%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Búzios – last 5

WDWWL
19 Julvs Barra Mansa3–0W
12 Julvs EC Resende1–1D
6 Jul@ EC Resende1–0W
28 Jun@ Barcelona RJ7–0W
8 Junvs Cardoso Moreira0–2L
2.4Scored / game
0.6Conceded / game
20%Both scored
40%Over 2.5

Head to head

19 Jul 2026Búzios v Barra Mansa3–0
Barra Mansa vs Búzios head-to-head page →

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Barra Mansa vs Búzios?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.

Who will win Barra Mansa vs Búzios?

On our numbers Barra Mansa have a 50% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Búzios 24%.

How many goals will there be in Barra Mansa vs Búzios?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Barra Mansa vs Búzios?

Our predicted score is Barra Mansa 1–1 Búzios, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Barra Mansa vs Búzios?

Barra Mansa vs Búzios (Carioca C) kicks off on Thursday 23 July 2026 at 18:45 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.