ADT vs UCV Moquegua: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
21:00 WAT, Thursday 27 August: ADT v UCV Moquegua in the .
Current form
ADT, last 5: LDDLL Their latest outing: 1–5 defeat to Juan Pablo II College, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
UCV Moquegua, last 5: WDLDD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Sport Huancayo, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours UCV Moquegua, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.3 for ADT.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give ADT 1.7 xG, UCV Moquegua 0.8 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 51%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – ADT 61%, draw 19%, UCV Moquegua 20%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.95.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: ADT 1–0 UCV Moquegua. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
ADT61%fair 1.64 · @1.53
Draw19%fair 5.17 · @3.70
UCV Moquegua20%fair 5.07 · @5.80
2.43Expected goals
1.66ADT xG
0.77UCV Moquegua xG
51%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
2–012%
1–111%
2–19%
0–09%
0–17%
From our goals model: ADT 1.7 – 0.8 UCV Moquegua expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
ADT to win✓
61%
1.64
1.53
Double chance
Either team to win✓
81%
1.24
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.95
1.95
Draw no bet
ADT (draw no bet)✓
76%
1.32
–
Asian handicap
UCV Moquegua +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
ADT to score first✓
62%
1.61
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT ADT / FT ADT✓
36%
2.78
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.69
–
Recent results
ADT – last 6
LDDLLL
22 Aug
@ Juan Pablo II College
1–5
L
15 Aug
vs Alianza Atletico
1–1
D
8 Aug
@ UTC Cajamarca
1–1
D
2 Aug
vs Deportivo Garcilaso
0–1
L
25 Jul
@ Sport Boys
0–2
L
18 Jul
vs Universitario
1–2
L
0.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
UCV Moquegua – last 6
WDLDDD
22 Aug
@ Sport Huancayo
2–0
W
16 Aug
vs Sport Boys
1–1
D
9 Aug
@ Deportivo Garcilaso
0–2
L
2 Aug
vs FBC Melgar
0–0
D
26 Jul
@ UTC Cajamarca
0–0
D
18 Jul
vs Comerciantes Unidos
2–2
D
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between ADT and UCV Moquegua.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win ADT vs UCV Moquegua?
On our numbers ADT have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 19% and UCV Moquegua 20%.
How many goals will there be in ADT vs UCV Moquegua?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for ADT vs UCV Moquegua?
Our predicted score is ADT 1–0 UCV Moquegua, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is ADT vs UCV Moquegua?
ADT vs UCV Moquegua () kicks off on Thursday 27 August 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
