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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Alianza Atletico v UTC Cajamarca: numbers & prediction

· · Estadio Campeones del 36
1–1
FTPens 5–4
Alianza Atletico 64%Draw 22%UTC Cajamarca 14% Expected goals 2.35 – 1.08
64%
Betarazi pick

Alianza Atletico to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.60 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.60Odds

Picks by market

ResultAlianza Atletico to win ✗64% · @1.60
Double chanceAlianza Atletico or draw ✓86% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.80
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗67% · fair 1.50
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.35

Alianza Atletico vs UTC Cajamarca: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

UTC Cajamarca travel to face Alianza Atletico on Tuesday 25 August in the , with Estadio Campeones del 36 the venue – the ball rolls at 21:00 WAT.

Current form

Alianza Atletico, last 5: WDWLW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Sporting Cristal, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

UTC Cajamarca, last 5: LLDLD Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Comerciantes Unidos, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Momentum favours Alianza Atletico, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.3 for UTC Cajamarca.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Alianza Atletico 2.3 xG, UTC Cajamarca 1.1 xG – a total near 3.4. That is an open game on paper: 67% for three or more goals, 58% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Alianza Atletico 64%, draw 22%, UTC Cajamarca 14%.
  • Lower-risk option: Alianza Atletico or draw (86%) at 1.15.
  • GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.80.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Alianza Atletico to win (64%, odds 1.60). Most likely score in line with that pick: Alianza Atletico 2–1 UTC Cajamarca. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Alianza Atletico64%fair 1.57 · @1.60
Draw22%fair 4.51 · @3.60
UTC Cajamarca14%fair 7.03 · @4.60
3.43Expected goals
2.35Alianza Atletico xG
1.08UTC Cajamarca xG
58%Both score
67%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–110%
2–09%
1–18%
1–08%
3–18%
3–07%

From our goals model: Alianza Atletico 2.3 – 1.1 UTC Cajamarca expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAlianza Atletico to win ✗64%1.571.60
Double chanceAlianza Atletico or draw ✓86%1.171.15
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓58%1.721.80
Draw no betAlianza Atletico (draw no bet)82%1.22–
Asian handicapAlianza Atletico -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗65%1.53–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓86%1.17–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗67%1.50–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓55%1.81–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓74%1.35–
First team to scoreAlianza Atletico to score first66%1.51–
Half-time resultAlianza Atletico ahead at half-time ✗49%2.05–
Half-time / full-timeHT Alianza Atletico / FT Alianza Atletico ✗43%2.32–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.35–

Recent results

Alianza Atletico – last 6

WDWLWL
21 Augvs Sporting Cristal3–1W
15 Aug@ ADT1–1D
6 Augvs Cienciano1–0W
2 Aug@ Alianza Lima1–3L
24 Julvs Club Deportivo Los Chankas3–1W
19 Jul@ Cusco1–4L
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

UTC Cajamarca – last 6

LLDLDL
22 Augvs Comerciantes Unidos1–3L
16 Aug@ Alianza Lima0–1L
8 Augvs ADT1–1D
2 Aug@ Cusco1–4L
26 Julvs UCV Moquegua0–0D
18 Jul@ Atletico Grau1–3L
0.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Alianza Atletico and UTC Cajamarca.

Alianza Atletico vs UTC Cajamarca head-to-head page →

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Alianza Atletico vs UTC Cajamarca?

Our pick is Alianza Atletico to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.

Who will win Alianza Atletico vs UTC Cajamarca?

On our numbers Alianza Atletico have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 22% and UTC Cajamarca 14%.

How many goals will there be in Alianza Atletico vs UTC Cajamarca?

We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Alianza Atletico vs UTC Cajamarca?

Our predicted score is Alianza Atletico 2–1 UTC Cajamarca, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.

When is Alianza Atletico vs UTC Cajamarca?

Alianza Atletico vs UTC Cajamarca () kicks off on Tuesday 25 August 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Campeones del 36.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.