Charlotte Independence vs Hartford Athletic: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Charlotte Independence welcome Hartford Athletic to American Legion Memorial Stadium for a USL League One Cup fixture on Thursday 13 August (00:00 WAT). In the table, Charlotte Independence are 5th, upper half, on 12 points after 4 matches; Hartford Athletic are 9th (upper half) with 9. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Charlotte Independence, last 5: WWWLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Greenville Triumph, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Hartford Athletic, last 5: DLDLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Indy Eleven, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Charlotte Independence, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.0 for Hartford Athletic.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Charlotte Independence 1.4 xG, Hartford Athletic 1.4 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Charlotte Independence 41%, draw 21%, Hartford Athletic 38%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.65.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Charlotte Independence 1–1 Hartford Athletic. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Charlotte Independence41%fair 2.44 · @2.35
Draw21%fair 4.68 · @3.40
Hartford Athletic38%fair 2.66 · @2.62
2.81Expected goals
1.44Charlotte Independence xG
1.37Hartford Athletic xG
59%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–06%
From our goals model: Charlotte Independence 1.4 – 1.4 Hartford Athletic expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Charlotte Independence to win✗
41%
2.44
2.35
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.70
1.65
Draw no bet
Charlotte Independence (draw no bet)✗
52%
1.92
–
Asian handicap
Hartford Athletic +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.90
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
69%
1.45
1.35
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
85%
1.18
–
First team to score
Charlotte Independence to score first✗
48%
2.07
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.43
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Charlotte Independence / FT Charlotte Independence✗
23%
4.37
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.67
–
Recent results
Charlotte Independence – last 6
WWWLLD
9 Aug
vs Greenville Triumph
1–0
W
2 Aug
vs One Knoxville
3–1
W
26 Jul
vs Richmond Kickers
3–1
W
23 Jul
@ Spokane Velocity
0–3
L
19 Jul
vs Chattanooga Red Wolves
2–4
L
12 Jul
@ Charleston Battery
2–2
D
1.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Hartford Athletic – last 6
DLDLWD
9 Aug
@ Indy Eleven
1–1
D
2 Aug
@ Loudoun United
0–2
L
26 Jul
@ Phoenix Rising
0–0
D
19 Jul
@ Rhode Island
0–1
L
12 Jul
vs Westchester SC
2–1
W
9 Jul
vs Orange County SC
2–2
D
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Charlotte Independence and Hartford Athletic.
What is the prediction for Charlotte Independence vs Hartford Athletic?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Charlotte Independence vs Hartford Athletic?
On our numbers Charlotte Independence have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Hartford Athletic 38%.
How many goals will there be in Charlotte Independence vs Hartford Athletic?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Charlotte Independence vs Hartford Athletic?
Our predicted score is Charlotte Independence 1–1 Hartford Athletic, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Charlotte Independence vs Hartford Athletic?
Charlotte Independence vs Hartford Athletic (USL League One Cup) kicks off on Thursday 13 August 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at American Legion Memorial Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
