Villa Nova 37%Draw 30%Valeriodoce 33%Expected goals 1.08 – 0.93
67%
Betarazi pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
Picks by market
ResultVilla Nova to win ✗37% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✗70% · @1.33
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗58% · fair 1.72
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓67% · @1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.89
Villa Nova vs Valeriodoce: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
20:00 WAT, Saturday 18 July: Villa Nova v Valeriodoce in the Mineiro 2, played at Estadio Municipal Castor Cifuentes.
Current form
Villa Nova, last 5: LDLWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Valeriodoce, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Valeriodoce, last 5: WDWWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Villa Nova, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Valeriodoce, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.2 for Villa Nova.
Head to head
When they last met (12 Jul 2026) it ended Valeriodoce 1–0 Villa Nova.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Villa Nova 1.1 xG, Valeriodoce 0.9 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 67% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Villa Nova 37%, draw 30%, Valeriodoce 33%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (67%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Villa Nova 1–0 Valeriodoce. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Villa Nova37%fair 2.67 · @2.40
Draw30%fair 3.35 · @2.80
Valeriodoce33%fair 3.06 · @2.88
2.01Expected goals
1.08Villa Nova xG
0.93Valeriodoce xG
42%Both score
33%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
1–113%
0–013%
0–112%
2–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Villa Nova 1.1 – 0.9 Valeriodoce expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Villa Nova vs Valeriodoce?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Villa Nova vs Valeriodoce?
On our numbers Villa Nova have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 30% and Valeriodoce 33%.
How many goals will there be in Villa Nova vs Valeriodoce?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Villa Nova vs Valeriodoce?
Our predicted score is Villa Nova 1–0 Valeriodoce, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Villa Nova vs Valeriodoce?
Villa Nova vs Valeriodoce (Mineiro 2) kicks off on Saturday 18 July 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal Castor Cifuentes.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Mineiro 2 · Brazil · Estadio Municipal Castor Cifuentes
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