Valeriodoce 46%Draw 29%Villa Nova 25%Expected goals 1.15 – 0.85
67%
Betarazi pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
Picks by market
ResultValeriodoce to win ✗46% · @1.90
Double chanceValeriodoce or draw ✗75% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓56% · fair 1.77
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓67% · @1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.44
Valeriodoce vs Villa Nova: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Valeriodoce welcome Villa Nova to Estadio Israel Pinheiro - VEC for a Mineiro 2 fixture on Sunday 26 July (19:00 WAT).
Current form
Valeriodoce, last 5: DWDWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Villa Nova, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Villa Nova, last 5: DLDLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Valeriodoce, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Valeriodoce, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.8 for Villa Nova.
Head to head
When they last met (18 Jul 2026) it ended Villa Nova 1–1 Valeriodoce. The last 2 head-to-heads: Valeriodoce 1 win, Villa Nova 0, draws 1. Those games averaged 1.5 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Valeriodoce 1.2 xG, Villa Nova 0.9 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 67% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Valeriodoce 46%, draw 29%, Villa Nova 25%.
Lower-risk option: Valeriodoce or draw (75%) at 1.17.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (67%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Valeriodoce 1–0 Villa Nova. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Valeriodoce46%fair 2.16 · @1.90
Draw29%fair 3.43 · @2.90
Villa Nova25%fair 4.08 · @4.00
2.00Expected goals
1.15Valeriodoce xG
0.85Villa Nova xG
44%Both score
33%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
0–013%
1–113%
0–111%
2–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Valeriodoce 1.2 – 0.9 Villa Nova expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Valeriodoce vs Villa Nova?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Valeriodoce vs Villa Nova?
On our numbers Valeriodoce have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Villa Nova 25%.
How many goals will there be in Valeriodoce vs Villa Nova?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Valeriodoce vs Villa Nova?
Our predicted score is Valeriodoce 1–0 Villa Nova, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Valeriodoce vs Villa Nova?
Valeriodoce vs Villa Nova (Mineiro 2) kicks off on Sunday 26 July 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Israel Pinheiro - VEC.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Mineiro 2 · Brazil · Estadio Israel Pinheiro - VEC
