Value bet: AS Jeunesse Esch to win @ 3.25 – our chance 33% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultProgres Niederkorn to win ✓43% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 11.21
Progres Niederkorn vs AS Jeunesse Esch: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 1 August the National Division brings Progres Niederkorn against AS Jeunesse Esch. Kick-off: 18:00 WAT. In the table, Progres Niederkorn are 6th, upper half, on 22 points after 12 matches; AS Jeunesse Esch are 10th (lower half) with 13.
Current form
Progres Niederkorn, last 5: DLLLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Excelsior Virton, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 3.3 conceded per game.
AS Jeunesse Esch, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 4–2 win over Berdenia Berbourg, away. The attack is flying at 2.7 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours AS Jeunesse Esch, collecting 3.0 points per game to 0.2 for Progres Niederkorn.
Head to head
When they last met (17 May 2026) it ended AS Jeunesse Esch 2–1 Progres Niederkorn.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Progres Niederkorn 1.5 xG, AS Jeunesse Esch 1.3 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 59%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Progres Niederkorn 43%, draw 25%, AS Jeunesse Esch 33%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.67.
Price worth noting: AS Jeunesse Esch to win @3.25 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 33%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Progres Niederkorn 1–1 AS Jeunesse Esch. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Progres Niederkorn43%fair 2.34 · @2.05
Draw25%fair 4.07 · @3.35
AS Jeunesse Esch33%fair 3.05 · @3.25
2.88Expected goals
1.54Progres Niederkorn xG
1.34AS Jeunesse Esch xG
59%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
2–19%
1–09%
1–28%
0–18%
2–07%
From our goals model: Progres Niederkorn 1.5 – 1.3 AS Jeunesse Esch expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Progres Niederkorn vs AS Jeunesse Esch?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Progres Niederkorn vs AS Jeunesse Esch?
On our numbers Progres Niederkorn have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 25% and AS Jeunesse Esch 33%.
How many goals will there be in Progres Niederkorn vs AS Jeunesse Esch?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Progres Niederkorn vs AS Jeunesse Esch?
Our predicted score is Progres Niederkorn 1–1 AS Jeunesse Esch, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Progres Niederkorn vs AS Jeunesse Esch?
Progres Niederkorn vs AS Jeunesse Esch (National Division) kicks off on Saturday 1 August 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
