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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Victoria Rosport v US Mondorf-les-bains: numbers & prediction

National Division · Luxembourg · Party-Rent-Arena
Victoria Rosport 20%Draw 22%US Mondorf-les-bains 58% Expected goals 1.46 – 2.31
83%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

10/10Rating
1.22Odds
O2.5

Value bet: Over 2.5 goals @ 1.70 – our chance 64% vs 59% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultUS Mondorf-les-bains to win ✓58% · @1.55
Double chanceUS Mondorf-les-bains or draw ✓80% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.13

Victoria Rosport vs US Mondorf-les-bains: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Victoria Rosport welcome US Mondorf-les-bains to Party-Rent-Arena for a National Division fixture on Sunday 9 August (15:00 WAT). In the table, Victoria Rosport are 12th, lower half, on 11 points after 12 matches; US Mondorf-les-bains are 3rd (among the top four) with 27. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Victoria Rosport, last 5: LLLLW Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to UNA Strassen, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.7 conceded per game.

US Mondorf-les-bains, last 5: WWLLD Their latest outing: 3–2 win over FC Differdange 03, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours US Mondorf-les-bains, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.0 for Victoria Rosport.

Head to head

When they last met (10 May 2026) it ended Victoria Rosport 1–0 US Mondorf-les-bains.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Victoria Rosport 1.5 xG, US Mondorf-les-bains 2.3 xG – a total near 3.8. That is an open game on paper: 64% for three or more goals, 62% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Victoria Rosport 20%, draw 22%, US Mondorf-les-bains 58%.
  • GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.70.
  • Price worth noting: Over 2.5 goals @1.70 – the bookmaker implies 59%, our ratings say 64%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (83%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Victoria Rosport 1–2 US Mondorf-les-bains. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Victoria Rosport20%fair 4.91 · @5.10
Draw22%fair 4.55 · @3.80
US Mondorf-les-bains58%fair 1.73 · @1.55
3.77Expected goals
1.46Victoria Rosport xG
2.31US Mondorf-les-bains xG
62%Both score
64%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–29%
1–18%
1–37%
2–27%
0–26%
2–16%

From our goals model: Victoria Rosport 1.5 – 2.3 US Mondorf-les-bains expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultUS Mondorf-les-bains to win ✓58%1.731.55
Double chanceUS Mondorf-les-bains or draw ✓80%1.261.10
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓62%1.631.70
Draw no betUS Mondorf-les-bains (draw no bet) ✓74%1.35–
Asian handicapVictoria Rosport +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓64%1.55–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83%1.211.22
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓64%1.571.70 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗57%1.761.42
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗67%1.48–
First team to scoreUS Mondorf-les-bains to score first60%1.67–
Half-time resultUS Mondorf-les-bains ahead at half-time ✓44%2.29–
Half-time / full-timeHT US Mondorf-les-bains / FT US Mondorf-les-bains ✓36%2.75–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.13–

Recent results

Victoria Rosport – last 6

LLLLWW
4 Aug@ UNA Strassen0–4L
29 May@ FC Differdange 031–4L
23 Mayvs US Hostert2–4L
17 May@ Swift Hesperange0–3L
10 Mayvs US Mondorf-les-bains1–0W
22 Apr@ Feulen2–1W
1.0Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

US Mondorf-les-bains – last 6

WWLLDW
2 Augvs FC Differdange 033–2W
16 Jul@ Dinamo Tbilisi1–0W
9 Julvs Dinamo Tbilisi1–2L
3 Jul@ Metz2–5L
23 May@ UNA Strassen0–0D
17 Mayvs Union Titus Petange1–0W
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

10 May 2026Victoria Rosport v US Mondorf-les-bains1–0
Victoria Rosport vs US Mondorf-les-bains head-to-head page →

National Division table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1UNA Strassen121110+2034
2FC Differdange 03121101+2633
3US Mondorf-les-bains12903+427
4Atert Bissen12813+1625
5Racing FC Union Luxembourg12642+1822
6Progres Niederkorn12714+1022
7UN Kaerjeng 9712705+1021
8Résidence Walferdange12525-317
9F91 Dudelange12516+216
10AS Jeunesse Esch12417-513
11US Hostert12327-611
12Victoria Rosport12327-811
13US Rumelange12327-1511
14Etzella Ettelbruck12228-148
15Wiltz12138-136
16Swift Hesperange120012-420

More National Division predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Victoria Rosport vs US Mondorf-les-bains?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Victoria Rosport vs US Mondorf-les-bains?

On our numbers Victoria Rosport have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 22% and US Mondorf-les-bains 58%.

How many goals will there be in Victoria Rosport vs US Mondorf-les-bains?

We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Victoria Rosport vs US Mondorf-les-bains?

Our predicted score is Victoria Rosport 1–2 US Mondorf-les-bains, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.

When is Victoria Rosport vs US Mondorf-les-bains?

Victoria Rosport vs US Mondorf-les-bains (National Division) kicks off on Sunday 9 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Party-Rent-Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.