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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Progres Niederkorn v UNA Strassen: numbers & prediction

National Division · Luxembourg
0–1
FT
Progres Niederkorn 35%Draw 23%UNA Strassen 42% Expected goals 1.17 – 1.33
59%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.69 · bookmaker 1.70 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.70Odds

Picks by market

ResultUNA Strassen to win ✓42% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.81

Progres Niederkorn vs UNA Strassen: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 22 August the National Division brings Progres Niederkorn against UNA Strassen. Kick-off: 18:00 WAT. In the table, Progres Niederkorn are 6th, upper half, on 22 points after 12 matches; UNA Strassen are 1st (leading the league) with 34. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Progres Niederkorn, last 5: WWWDL Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Atert Bissen, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

UNA Strassen, last 5: WWWLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over AS Jeunesse Esch, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Head to head

When they last met (8 Mar 2026) it ended UNA Strassen 2–0 Progres Niederkorn.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Progres Niederkorn 1.2 xG, UNA Strassen 1.3 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 59%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Progres Niederkorn 35%, draw 23%, UNA Strassen 42%.
  • GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.70.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (59%, odds 1.70). Most likely score in line with that pick: Progres Niederkorn 1–1 UNA Strassen. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Progres Niederkorn35%fair 2.85 · @2.80
Draw23%fair 4.41 · @3.10
UNA Strassen42%fair 2.37 · @2.20
2.50Expected goals
1.17Progres Niederkorn xG
1.33UNA Strassen xG
59%Both score
46%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
1–28%
0–08%
2–18%

From our goals model: Progres Niederkorn 1.2 – 1.3 UNA Strassen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultUNA Strassen to win ✓42%2.372.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.291.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗59%1.691.70
Draw no betUNA Strassen (draw no bet) ✓55%1.83–
Asian handicapProgres Niederkorn +1 (Asian handicap)77%1.31–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗71%1.40–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓54%1.84–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76%1.32–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓89%1.12–
First team to scoreUNA Strassen to score first ✓49%2.06–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓44%2.27–
Half-time / full-timeHT UNA Strassen / FT UNA Strassen ✗23%4.30–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%11.81–

Recent results

Progres Niederkorn – last 6

WWWDLL
16 Aug@ Atert Bissen4–0W
9 Aug@ Résidence Walferdange1–0W
1 Augvs AS Jeunesse Esch2–1W
25 Julvs Excelsior Virton1–1D
22 Julvs APM Metz2–5L
18 Jul@ Dijon1–4L
1.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

UNA Strassen – last 6

WWWLLW
16 Augvs AS Jeunesse Esch1–0W
9 Aug@ F91 Dudelange2–0W
4 Augvs Victoria Rosport4–0W
30 Julvs FK Partizan0–1L
23 Jul@ FK Partizan0–4L
14 Jul@ La Fiorita2–0W
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
0%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

8 Mar 2026UNA Strassen v Progres Niederkorn2–0
Progres Niederkorn vs UNA Strassen head-to-head page →

National Division table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1UNA Strassen121110+2034
2FC Differdange 03121101+2633
3US Mondorf-les-bains12903+427
4Atert Bissen12813+1625
5Racing FC Union Luxembourg12642+1822
6Progres Niederkorn12714+1022
7UN Kaerjeng 9712705+1021
8Résidence Walferdange12525-317
9F91 Dudelange12516+216
10AS Jeunesse Esch12417-513
11US Hostert12327-611
12Victoria Rosport12327-811
13US Rumelange12327-1511
14Etzella Ettelbruck12228-148
15Wiltz12138-136
16Swift Hesperange120012-420

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Progres Niederkorn vs UNA Strassen?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.

Who will win Progres Niederkorn vs UNA Strassen?

On our numbers Progres Niederkorn have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 23% and UNA Strassen 42%.

How many goals will there be in Progres Niederkorn vs UNA Strassen?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Progres Niederkorn vs UNA Strassen?

Our predicted score is Progres Niederkorn 1–1 UNA Strassen, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Progres Niederkorn vs UNA Strassen?

Progres Niederkorn vs UNA Strassen (National Division) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.