Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.62Odds
Picks by market
ResultProgres Niederkorn to win ✓65% · @1.62
Double chanceProgres Niederkorn or draw ✓87% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · fair 1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓10% · fair 10.24
Wiltz vs Progres Niederkorn: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 12 September the National Division brings Wiltz against Progres Niederkorn at Stade Am Petz. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT. In the table, Wiltz are 15th, in the drop zone, on 6 points after 12 matches; Progres Niederkorn are 6th (upper half) with 22. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Wiltz, last 5: LLLLW Their latest outing: 1–5 defeat to AS Jeunesse Esch, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.7 conceded per game.
Progres Niederkorn, last 5: WLLWW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over US Rumelange, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Progres Niederkorn, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.7 for Wiltz.
Head to head
When they last met (4 Mar 2026) it ended Wiltz 0–1 Progres Niederkorn.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Wiltz 1.0 xG, Progres Niederkorn 2.3 xG – a total near 3.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 61% and GG at 51%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Wiltz 13%, draw 22%, Progres Niederkorn 65%.
Lower-risk option: Progres Niederkorn or draw (87%) at 1.17.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Progres Niederkorn to win (65%, odds 1.62 – longer than our fair 1.53, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Wiltz 0–2 Progres Niederkorn. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Wiltz13%fair 7.59 · @4.10
Draw22%fair 4.61 · @4.00
Progres Niederkorn65%fair 1.53 · @1.62
3.28Expected goals
0.99Wiltz xG
2.29Progres Niederkorn xG
51%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–210%
1–210%
0–19%
1–19%
0–38%
1–37%
From our goals model: Wiltz 1.0 – 2.3 Progres Niederkorn expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Wiltz vs Progres Niederkorn?
Our pick is Progres Niederkorn to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Wiltz vs Progres Niederkorn?
On our numbers Wiltz have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Progres Niederkorn 65%.
How many goals will there be in Wiltz vs Progres Niederkorn?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Wiltz vs Progres Niederkorn?
Our predicted score is Wiltz 0–2 Progres Niederkorn, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Wiltz vs Progres Niederkorn?
Wiltz vs Progres Niederkorn (National Division) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade Am Petz.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
