Progres Niederkorn 43%Draw 23%Racing FC Union Luxembourg 34%Expected goals 1.79 – 1.57
64%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.55 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.55Odds
Picks by market
ResultProgres Niederkorn to win ✗43% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.46
Progres Niederkorn vs Racing FC Union Luxembourg: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Racing FC Union Luxembourg travel to face Progres Niederkorn on Wednesday 16 September in the National Division – the ball rolls at 19:00 WAT. In the table, Progres Niederkorn are 6th, upper half, on 22 points after 12 matches; Racing FC Union Luxembourg are 5th (upper half) with 22. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Progres Niederkorn, last 5: WWLLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Wiltz, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Racing FC Union Luxembourg, last 5: WWDLW Their latest outing: 5–1 win over AS Jeunesse Esch, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.7 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Progres Niederkorn 1.8 xG, Racing FC Union Luxembourg 1.6 xG – a total near 3.4. That is an open game on paper: 65% for three or more goals, 64% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Progres Niederkorn 43%, draw 23%, Racing FC Union Luxembourg 34%.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.55.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (64%, odds 1.55). Most likely score in line with that pick: Progres Niederkorn 1–1 Racing FC Union Luxembourg. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Progres Niederkorn43%fair 2.33 · @2.25
Draw23%fair 4.33 · @3.00
Racing FC Union Luxembourg34%fair 2.94 · @2.80
3.36Expected goals
1.79Progres Niederkorn xG
1.57Racing FC Union Luxembourg xG
64%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–19%
1–28%
2–27%
1–06%
2–06%
From our goals model: Progres Niederkorn 1.8 – 1.6 Racing FC Union Luxembourg expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Progres Niederkorn to win✗
43%
2.33
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.30
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
64%
1.57
1.55
Draw no bet
Progres Niederkorn (draw no bet)
56%
1.79
–
Asian handicap
Racing FC Union Luxembourg +1 (Asian handicap)✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
85%
1.18
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
–
First team to score
Progres Niederkorn to score first✗
51%
1.95
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
37%
2.70
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Progres Niederkorn / FT Progres Niederkorn✗
26%
3.82
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.46
–
Recent results
Progres Niederkorn – last 6
WWLLWW
12 Sep
@ Wiltz
2–1
W
6 Sep
vs US Rumelange
3–0
W
30 Aug
@ US Mondorf-les-bains
1–2
L
22 Aug
vs UNA Strassen
0–1
L
16 Aug
@ Atert Bissen
4–0
W
9 Aug
@ Résidence Walferdange
1–0
W
1.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Racing FC Union Luxembourg – last 6
WWDLWW
12 Sep
vs AS Jeunesse Esch
5–1
W
6 Sep
@ F91 Dudelange
3–1
W
30 Aug
vs Victoria Rosport
2–2
D
23 Aug
@ FC Differdange 03
0–3
L
16 Aug
vs Swift Hesperange
5–0
W
9 Aug
@ Etzella Ettelbruck
1–0
W
2.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Progres Niederkorn and Racing FC Union Luxembourg.
What is the prediction for Progres Niederkorn vs Racing FC Union Luxembourg?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Progres Niederkorn vs Racing FC Union Luxembourg?
On our numbers Progres Niederkorn have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Racing FC Union Luxembourg 34%.
How many goals will there be in Progres Niederkorn vs Racing FC Union Luxembourg?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Progres Niederkorn vs Racing FC Union Luxembourg?
Our predicted score is Progres Niederkorn 1–1 Racing FC Union Luxembourg, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Progres Niederkorn vs Racing FC Union Luxembourg?
Progres Niederkorn vs Racing FC Union Luxembourg (National Division) kicks off on Wednesday 16 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
