US Hostert 17%Draw 24%Progres Niederkorn 59%Expected goals 0.87 – 1.82
83%
Betarazi pick
Progres Niederkorn or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
Picks by market
ResultProgres Niederkorn to win ✓59% · @1.75
Double chanceProgres Niederkorn or draw ✓83% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.22
US Hostert vs Progres Niederkorn: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Sunday 11 October: US Hostert v Progres Niederkorn in the National Division, played at Stade Jos Becker. In the table, US Hostert are 11th, lower half, on 11 points after 12 matches; Progres Niederkorn are 6th (upper half) with 22.
Current form
US Hostert, last 5: DDDWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Alisontia Steinsel, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Progres Niederkorn, last 5: WDWWL Their latest outing: 7–0 win over Kopstal 33, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Head to head
When they last met (15 Mar 2026) it ended US Hostert 1–5 Progres Niederkorn.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give US Hostert 0.9 xG, Progres Niederkorn 1.8 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – US Hostert 17%, draw 24%, Progres Niederkorn 59%.
Lower-risk option: Progres Niederkorn or draw (83%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.60.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Progres Niederkorn or draw (83%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: US Hostert 0–1 Progres Niederkorn. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
US Hostert17%fair 5.88 · @3.80
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.30
Progres Niederkorn59%fair 1.70 · @1.75
2.69Expected goals
0.87US Hostert xG
1.82Progres Niederkorn xG
56%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–112%
0–211%
1–111%
1–210%
0–07%
0–37%
From our goals model: US Hostert 0.9 – 1.8 Progres Niederkorn expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for US Hostert vs Progres Niederkorn?
Our pick is Progres Niederkorn or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win US Hostert vs Progres Niederkorn?
On our numbers US Hostert have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Progres Niederkorn 59%.
How many goals will there be in US Hostert vs Progres Niederkorn?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for US Hostert vs Progres Niederkorn?
Our predicted score is US Hostert 0–1 Progres Niederkorn, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is US Hostert vs Progres Niederkorn?
US Hostert vs Progres Niederkorn (National Division) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade Jos Becker.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
