US Mondorf-les-bains 69%Draw 20%Wiltz 11%Expected goals 2.69 – 1.09
63%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.70 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.70Odds
Picks by market
ResultUS Mondorf-les-bains to win ✓69% · @1.22
Double chanceUS Mondorf-les-bains or draw ✓89% · @1.05
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.70
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓73% · fair 1.37
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.11
US Mondorf-les-bains vs Wiltz: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
US Mondorf-les-bains welcome Wiltz to Stade John Grun for a National Division fixture on Sunday 18 October (15:00 WAT). In the table, US Mondorf-les-bains are 3rd, among the top four, on 27 points after 12 matches; Wiltz are 15th (in the drop zone) with 6. There are 21 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
US Mondorf-les-bains, last 5: WWLLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over US Rumelange, away. 3.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Wiltz, last 5: LWLLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to UNA Strassen, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours US Mondorf-les-bains, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.5 for Wiltz.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give US Mondorf-les-bains 2.7 xG, Wiltz 1.1 xG – a total near 3.8. That is an open game on paper: 73% for three or more goals, 63% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – US Mondorf-les-bains 69%, draw 20%, Wiltz 11%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.70.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (63%, odds 1.70 – longer than our fair 1.58, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: US Mondorf-les-bains 2–1 Wiltz. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
US Mondorf-les-bains69%fair 1.45 · @1.22
Draw20%fair 4.98 · @5.00
Wiltz11%fair 9.25 · @9.50
3.78Expected goals
2.69US Mondorf-les-bains xG
1.09Wiltz xG
63%Both score
73%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
2–08%
3–18%
3–07%
1–17%
1–06%
From our goals model: US Mondorf-les-bains 2.7 – 1.1 Wiltz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
US Mondorf-les-bains to win✓
69%
1.45
1.22
Double chance
US Mondorf-les-bains or draw✓
89%
1.12
1.05
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.58
1.70 ▲
Draw no bet
US Mondorf-les-bains (draw no bet)✓
86%
1.16
–
Asian handicap
US Mondorf-les-bains -1 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
52%
1.91
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
67%
1.49
–
First team to score
US Mondorf-les-bains to score first
70%
1.44
–
Half-time result
US Mondorf-les-bains ahead at half-time✓
54%
1.87
–
Half-time / full-time
HT US Mondorf-les-bains / FT US Mondorf-les-bains✓
49%
2.06
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.11
–
Recent results
US Mondorf-les-bains – last 6
WWLLWW
11 Oct
@ US Rumelange
2–1
W
20 Sep
@ Kischpelt Wilwerwiltz
10–1
W
16 Sep
@ Résidence Walferdange
1–2
L
13 Sep
vs UNA Strassen
1–2
L
6 Sep
@ Atert Bissen
2–1
W
30 Aug
vs Progres Niederkorn
2–1
W
3.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Wiltz – last 6
LWLLLL
11 Oct
vs UNA Strassen
0–2
L
20 Sep
@ Sandweiler
6–2
W
16 Sep
@ Atert Bissen
2–4
L
12 Sep
vs Progres Niederkorn
1–2
L
6 Sep
@ AS Jeunesse Esch
1–5
L
30 Aug
vs F91 Dudelange
1–2
L
1.8Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between US Mondorf-les-bains and Wiltz.
What is the prediction for US Mondorf-les-bains vs Wiltz?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win US Mondorf-les-bains vs Wiltz?
On our numbers US Mondorf-les-bains have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Wiltz 11%.
How many goals will there be in US Mondorf-les-bains vs Wiltz?
We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 73% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for US Mondorf-les-bains vs Wiltz?
Our predicted score is US Mondorf-les-bains 2–1 Wiltz, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.
When is US Mondorf-les-bains vs Wiltz?
US Mondorf-les-bains vs Wiltz (National Division) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade John Grun.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
