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Progres Niederkorn v UN Kaerjeng 97: numbers & prediction

National Division · Luxembourg
Progres Niederkorn 56%Draw 23%UN Kaerjeng 97 21% Expected goals 2.04 – 1.20
79%
Betarazi pick

Progres Niederkorn or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗

9/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultProgres Niederkorn to win ✗56% · @1.83
Double chanceProgres Niederkorn or draw ✗79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · fair 1.97
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.22

Progres Niederkorn vs UN Kaerjeng 97: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

UN Kaerjeng 97 travel to face Progres Niederkorn on Saturday 17 October in the National Division – the ball rolls at 16:30 WAT. In the table, Progres Niederkorn are 6th, upper half, on 22 points after 12 matches; UN Kaerjeng 97 are 7th (upper half) with 21. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Progres Niederkorn, last 5: WWDWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over US Hostert, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.5 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

UN Kaerjeng 97, last 5: WWWWL Their latest outing: 4–1 win over AS Jeunesse Esch, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. 4.8 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Head to head

When they last met (22 Mar 2026) it ended Progres Niederkorn 2–2 UN Kaerjeng 97.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Progres Niederkorn 2.0 xG, UN Kaerjeng 97 1.2 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 60% and GG at 51%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Progres Niederkorn 56%, draw 23%, UN Kaerjeng 97 21%.
  • Lower-risk option: Progres Niederkorn or draw (79%) at 1.25.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Progres Niederkorn or draw (79%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Progres Niederkorn 2–1 UN Kaerjeng 97. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Progres Niederkorn56%fair 1.79 · @1.83
Draw23%fair 4.36 · @3.70
UN Kaerjeng 9721%fair 4.74 · @3.25
3.24Expected goals
2.04Progres Niederkorn xG
1.20UN Kaerjeng 97 xG
51%Both score
60%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–110%
1–110%
2–08%
1–08%
3–17%
2–26%

From our goals model: Progres Niederkorn 2.0 – 1.2 UN Kaerjeng 97 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultProgres Niederkorn to win ✗56%1.791.83
Double chanceProgres Niederkorn or draw ✗79%1.271.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓51%1.97–
Draw no betProgres Niederkorn (draw no bet) ✗73%1.38–
Asian handicapUN Kaerjeng 97 +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓66%1.52–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83%1.20–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓60%1.671.65
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓59%1.68–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓77%1.29–
First team to scoreProgres Niederkorn to score first ✗61%1.65–
Half-time resultProgres Niederkorn ahead at half-time ✗43%2.35–
Half-time / full-timeHT Progres Niederkorn / FT Progres Niederkorn ✗36%2.78–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.22–

Recent results

Progres Niederkorn – last 6

WWDWWL
11 Oct@ US Hostert2–0W
20 Sep@ Kopstal 337–0W
16 Sepvs Racing FC Union Luxembourg0–0D
12 Sep@ Wiltz2–1W
6 Sepvs US Rumelange3–0W
30 Aug@ US Mondorf-les-bains1–2L
2.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

UN Kaerjeng 97 – last 6

WWWWLW
11 Octvs AS Jeunesse Esch4–1W
20 Sep@ Syra Mensdorf9–1W
16 Sep@ F91 Dudelange4–2W
11 Sepvs Victoria Rosport5–0W
6 Sep@ FC Differdange 031–4L
30 Augvs Swift Hesperange6–0W
4.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

22 Mar 2026Progres Niederkorn v UN Kaerjeng 972–2
Progres Niederkorn vs UN Kaerjeng 97 head-to-head page →

National Division table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1UNA Strassen121110+2034
2FC Differdange 03121101+2633
3US Mondorf-les-bains12903+427
4Atert Bissen12813+1625
5Racing FC Union Luxembourg12642+1822
6Progres Niederkorn12714+1022
7UN Kaerjeng 9712705+1021
8Résidence Walferdange12525-317
9F91 Dudelange12516+216
10AS Jeunesse Esch12417-513
11US Hostert12327-611
12Victoria Rosport12327-811
13US Rumelange12327-1511
14Etzella Ettelbruck12228-148
15Wiltz12138-136
16Swift Hesperange120012-420

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Progres Niederkorn vs UN Kaerjeng 97?

Our pick is Progres Niederkorn or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Progres Niederkorn vs UN Kaerjeng 97?

On our numbers Progres Niederkorn have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 23% and UN Kaerjeng 97 21%.

How many goals will there be in Progres Niederkorn vs UN Kaerjeng 97?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Progres Niederkorn vs UN Kaerjeng 97?

Our predicted score is Progres Niederkorn 2–1 UN Kaerjeng 97, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.

When is Progres Niederkorn vs UN Kaerjeng 97?

Progres Niederkorn vs UN Kaerjeng 97 (National Division) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.