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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Progres Niederkorn v Swift Hesperange: numbers & prediction

National Division · Luxembourg
Progres Niederkorn 81%Draw 12%Swift Hesperange 8% Expected goals 2.51 – 0.58
54%
Betarazi pick

Not both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.85 · bookmaker 1.36 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
1.36Odds

Picks by market

ResultProgres Niederkorn to win ✓81% · @1.05
Double chanceProgres Niederkorn or draw ✓92% · fair 1.09
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · @1.36
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✓12% · fair 8.36

Progres Niederkorn vs Swift Hesperange: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

18:00 WAT, Saturday 31 October: Progres Niederkorn v Swift Hesperange in the National Division. In the table, Progres Niederkorn are 6th, upper half, on 22 points after 12 matches; Swift Hesperange are 16th (in the drop zone) with 0. There are 22 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Progres Niederkorn, last 5: LLWWD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Etzella Ettelbruck, away. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Swift Hesperange, last 5: LLLDL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to AS Jeunesse Esch, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.2 goals a game.

Momentum favours Progres Niederkorn, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.2 for Swift Hesperange.

Head to head

When they last met (15 Feb 2026) it ended Progres Niederkorn 1–1 Swift Hesperange.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Progres Niederkorn 2.5 xG, Swift Hesperange 0.6 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 60% and GG at 46%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Progres Niederkorn 81%, draw 12%, Swift Hesperange 8%.
  • GG/NG: NG (54%) at 1.36.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (54%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Progres Niederkorn 2–0 Swift Hesperange. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Progres Niederkorn81%fair 1.24 · @1.05
Draw12%fair 8.68 · @13.00
Swift Hesperange8%fair 12.74 · @34.00
3.09Expected goals
2.51Progres Niederkorn xG
0.58Swift Hesperange xG
46%Both score
60%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–014%
3–012%
1–011%
2–18%
4–07%
3–17%

From our goals model: Progres Niederkorn 2.5 – 0.6 Swift Hesperange expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultProgres Niederkorn to win ✓81%1.241.05
Double chanceProgres Niederkorn or draw ✓92%1.09–
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓54%1.851.36
Draw no betProgres Niederkorn (draw no bet) ✓91%1.10–
Asian handicapProgres Niederkorn -1 (Asian handicap) ✓74%1.36–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81%1.23–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓60%1.68–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓63%1.59–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓80%1.25–
First team to scoreProgres Niederkorn to score first ✓77%1.29–
Half-time resultProgres Niederkorn ahead at half-time ✓58%1.73–
Half-time / full-timeHT Progres Niederkorn / FT Progres Niederkorn ✓55%1.82–
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✓12%8.36–

Recent results

Progres Niederkorn – last 6

LLWWDW
24 Oct@ Etzella Ettelbruck0–2L
17 Octvs UN Kaerjeng 971–2L
11 Oct@ US Hostert2–0W
20 Sep@ Kopstal 337–0W
16 Sepvs Racing FC Union Luxembourg0–0D
12 Sep@ Wiltz2–1W
2.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Swift Hesperange – last 6

LLLDLL
25 Octvs AS Jeunesse Esch0–3L
18 Oct@ F91 Dudelange0–5L
11 Octvs Victoria Rosport0–3L
20 Sep@ Daring Echternach1–1D
16 Sep@ FC Differdange 030–3L
13 Sepvs Résidence Walferdange0–3L
0.2Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

15 Feb 2026Progres Niederkorn v Swift Hesperange1–1
Progres Niederkorn vs Swift Hesperange head-to-head page →

National Division table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1UNA Strassen121110+2034
2FC Differdange 03121101+2633
3US Mondorf-les-bains12903+427
4Atert Bissen12813+1625
5Racing FC Union Luxembourg12642+1822
6Progres Niederkorn12714+1022
7UN Kaerjeng 9712705+1021
8Résidence Walferdange12525-317
9F91 Dudelange12516+216
10AS Jeunesse Esch12417-513
11US Hostert12327-611
12Victoria Rosport12327-811
13US Rumelange12327-1511
14Etzella Ettelbruck12228-148
15Wiltz12138-136
16Swift Hesperange120012-420

More National Division predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Progres Niederkorn vs Swift Hesperange?

Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.

Who will win Progres Niederkorn vs Swift Hesperange?

On our numbers Progres Niederkorn have a 81% chance of winning, the draw 12% and Swift Hesperange 8%.

How many goals will there be in Progres Niederkorn vs Swift Hesperange?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Progres Niederkorn vs Swift Hesperange?

Our predicted score is Progres Niederkorn 2–0 Swift Hesperange, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is Progres Niederkorn vs Swift Hesperange?

Progres Niederkorn vs Swift Hesperange (National Division) kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.