Value bet: Egnatia Rrogozhinë to win @ 2.30 – our chance 48% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultEgnatia Rrogozhinë to win ✗48% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · fair 1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 9.44
AF Elbasani vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 13 September the Superliga brings AF Elbasani against Egnatia Rrogozhinë at Elbasan Arena. Kick-off: 17:30 WAT. In the table, AF Elbasani are 6th, lower half, on 14 points after 11 matches; Egnatia Rrogozhinë are 1st (leading the league) with 27. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
AF Elbasani, last 5: LDDDD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Dinamo Tirana, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Egnatia Rrogozhinë, last 5: WWDWD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Skenderbeu Korce, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately.
Momentum favours Egnatia Rrogozhinë, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.2 for AF Elbasani.
Head to head
When they last met (17 May 2026) it ended AF Elbasani 0–4 Egnatia Rrogozhinë. The last 3 head-to-heads: AF Elbasani 0 wins, Egnatia Rrogozhinë 1, draws 2. Those games averaged 2.0 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give AF Elbasani 1.1 xG, Egnatia Rrogozhinë 1.5 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 49%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – AF Elbasani 30%, draw 23%, Egnatia Rrogozhinë 48%.
Price worth noting: Egnatia Rrogozhinë to win @2.30 – the bookmaker implies 43%, our ratings say 48%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (52%, odds 1.75). Most likely score in line with that pick: AF Elbasani 1–1 Egnatia Rrogozhinë. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
AF Elbasani30%fair 3.38 · @2.75
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @3.20
Egnatia Rrogozhinë48%fair 2.09 · @2.30
2.67Expected goals
1.14AF Elbasani xG
1.54Egnatia Rrogozhinë xG
49%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–111%
1–29%
0–28%
1–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: AF Elbasani 1.1 – 1.5 Egnatia Rrogozhinë expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for AF Elbasani vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win AF Elbasani vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë?
On our numbers AF Elbasani have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Egnatia Rrogozhinë 48%.
How many goals will there be in AF Elbasani vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for AF Elbasani vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë?
Our predicted score is AF Elbasani 1–1 Egnatia Rrogozhinë, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is AF Elbasani vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë?
AF Elbasani vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë (Superliga) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Elbasan Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
