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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Tirana v AF Elbasani: numbers & prediction

Superliga · Albania · Arena Kombetare

Tirana

DWLLW
2–2
FT
Tirana 36%Draw 23%AF Elbasani 41% Expected goals 1.27 – 1.38
53%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.87 · bookmaker 1.67 · Lost ✗

4/10Rating
1.67Odds

Picks by market

ResultAF Elbasani to win ✗41% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · fair 1.94
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10% · fair 10.28

Tirana vs AF Elbasani: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 20 September the Superliga brings Tirana against AF Elbasani at Arena Kombetare. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT. In the table, Tirana are 4th, among the top four, on 15 points after 11 matches; AF Elbasani are 6th (lower half) with 14. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Tirana, last 5: DWLLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Skenderbeu Korce, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

AF Elbasani, last 5: WLDDD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Egnatia Rrogozhinë, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Tirana, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for AF Elbasani.

Head to head

When they last met (10 May 2026) it ended AF Elbasani 1–3 Tirana. The last 2 head-to-heads: Tirana 1 win, AF Elbasani 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 2.5 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Tirana 1.3 xG, AF Elbasani 1.4 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 48%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Tirana 36%, draw 23%, AF Elbasani 41%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (53%, odds 1.67). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tirana 1–1 AF Elbasani. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Tirana36%fair 2.76 · @2.55
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @3.20
AF Elbasani41%fair 2.42 · @2.45
2.65Expected goals
1.27Tirana xG
1.38AF Elbasani xG
48%Both score
47%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
0–110%
1–09%
1–29%
2–18%
0–07%

From our goals model: Tirana 1.3 – 1.4 AF Elbasani expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAF Elbasani to win ✗41%2.422.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77%1.291.28
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗52%1.94–
Draw no betAF Elbasani (draw no bet)53%1.88–
Asian handicapTirana +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓60%1.65–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74%1.35–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗53%1.871.67
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗72%1.38–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓87%1.15–
First team to scoreAF Elbasani to score first48%2.07–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗43%2.35–
Half-time / full-timeHT AF Elbasani / FT AF Elbasani ✗23%4.35–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10%10.28–

Recent results

Tirana – last 6

DWLLWW
11 Sep@ Skenderbeu Korce1–1D
6 Sepvs Vora4–0W
30 Aug@ Teuta Durrës1–3L
23 Aug@ Egnatia Rrogozhinë0–3L
10 May@ AF Elbasani3–1W
6 Mayvs Vllaznia Shkodër1–0W
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

AF Elbasani – last 6

WLDDDD
13 Sepvs Egnatia Rrogozhinë2–1W
6 Sep@ Dinamo Tirana1–2L
29 Augvs Vllaznia Shkodër1–1D
22 Aug@ Laci1–1D
16 Jul@ Bate Borisov0–0D
7 Julvs Bate Borisov1–1D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

10 May 2026AF Elbasani v Tirana1–3
8 Mar 2026Tirana v AF Elbasani0–1
Tirana vs AF Elbasani head-to-head page →

Superliga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Egnatia Rrogozhinë11902+1527
2Teuta Durrës11623+920
3Dinamo Tirana11524+117
4Tirana11434015
5Skenderbeu Korce11353+114
6AF Elbasani11353014
7Vora11335-812
8Vllaznia Shkodër11335-412
9Laci11326-511
10Partizani11317-910

More Superliga predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Tirana vs AF Elbasani?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.

Who will win Tirana vs AF Elbasani?

On our numbers Tirana have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 23% and AF Elbasani 41%.

How many goals will there be in Tirana vs AF Elbasani?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Tirana vs AF Elbasani?

Our predicted score is Tirana 1–1 AF Elbasani, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Tirana vs AF Elbasani?

Tirana vs AF Elbasani (Superliga) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Arena Kombetare.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.