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Egnatia Rrogozhinë v Teuta Durrës: numbers & prediction

Superliga · Albania · Demrozi Stadium
Egnatia Rrogozhinë 61%Draw 24%Teuta Durrës 15% Expected goals 1.74 – 0.73
85%
Betarazi pick

Egnatia Rrogozhinë or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1

Value bet: Egnatia Rrogozhinë to win @ 1.90 – our chance 61% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultEgnatia Rrogozhinë to win ✓61% · @1.90
Double chanceEgnatia Rrogozhinë or draw ✓85% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · fair 1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓15% · fair 6.83

Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Teuta Durrës: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Thursday 29 October the Superliga brings Egnatia Rrogozhinë against Teuta Durrës at Demrozi Stadium. Kick-off: 18:30 WAT. In the table, Egnatia Rrogozhinë are 1st, leading the league, on 27 points after 11 matches; Teuta Durrës are 2nd (among the top four) with 20.

Current form

Egnatia Rrogozhinë, last 5: LDWDW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Dinamo Tirana, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Teuta Durrës, last 5: DWWWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with AF Elbasani, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 6 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Teuta Durrës, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.8 for Egnatia Rrogozhinë.

Head to head

When they last met (10 May 2026) it ended Teuta Durrës 3–2 Egnatia Rrogozhinë. The last 3 head-to-heads: Egnatia Rrogozhinë 1 win, Teuta Durrës 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 3.7 goals and saw GG land 2 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Egnatia Rrogozhinë 1.7 xG, Teuta Durrës 0.7 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 45%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Egnatia Rrogozhinë 61%, draw 24%, Teuta Durrës 15%.
  • Lower-risk option: Egnatia Rrogozhinë or draw (85%) at 1.22.
  • Price worth noting: Egnatia Rrogozhinë to win @1.90 – the bookmaker implies 53%, our ratings say 61%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Egnatia Rrogozhinë or draw (85%, odds 1.22 – longer than our fair 1.17, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Egnatia Rrogozhinë 1–0 Teuta Durrës. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Egnatia Rrogozhinë61%fair 1.64 · @1.90
Draw24%fair 4.13 · @3.20
Teuta Durrës15%fair 6.75 · @3.70
2.48Expected goals
1.74Egnatia Rrogozhinë xG
0.73Teuta Durrës xG
45%Both score
44%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–015%
2–013%
1–111%
2–19%
0–08%
3–07%

From our goals model: Egnatia Rrogozhinë 1.7 – 0.7 Teuta Durrës expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultEgnatia Rrogozhinë to win ✓61%1.641.90 ▲
Double chanceEgnatia Rrogozhinë or draw ✓85%1.171.22
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓55%1.83–
Draw no betEgnatia Rrogozhinë (draw no bet) ✓80%1.24–
Asian handicapEgnatia Rrogozhinë -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓62%1.63–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗71%1.41–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓56%1.781.65
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76%1.31–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓89%1.12–
First team to scoreEgnatia Rrogozhinë to score first ✓64%1.55–
Half-time resultEgnatia Rrogozhinë ahead at half-time ✗43%2.32–
Half-time / full-timeHT Egnatia Rrogozhinë / FT Egnatia Rrogozhinë ✗38%2.61–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓15%6.83–

Recent results

Egnatia Rrogozhinë – last 6

LDWDWW
25 Oct@ Dinamo Tirana1–2L
22 Oct@ Aarhus1–1D
18 Octvs Vllaznia Shkodër3–1W
15 Octvs FC Midtjylland1–1D
11 Oct@ Laci2–0W
20 Sepvs Partizani2–1W
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Teuta Durrës – last 6

DWWWWW
24 Octvs AF Elbasani0–0D
16 Oct@ Dinamo Tirana2–0W
10 Octvs Skenderbeu Korce2–0W
2 Octvs FK Kukesi5–0W
18 Sep@ Vllaznia Shkodër2–0W
12 Sepvs Vora2–0W
2.2Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

10 May 2026Teuta Durrës v Egnatia Rrogozhinë3–2
9 Mar 2026Egnatia Rrogozhinë v Teuta Durrës4–2
4 Mar 2026Egnatia Rrogozhinë v Teuta Durrës0–0
Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Teuta Durrës head-to-head page →

Superliga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Egnatia Rrogozhinë11902+1527
2Teuta Durrës11623+920
3Dinamo Tirana11524+117
4Tirana11434015
5Skenderbeu Korce11353+114
6AF Elbasani11353014
7Vora11335-812
8Vllaznia Shkodër11335-412
9Laci11326-511
10Partizani11317-910

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Teuta Durrës?

Our pick is Egnatia Rrogozhinë or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Teuta Durrës?

On our numbers Egnatia Rrogozhinë have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Teuta Durrës 15%.

How many goals will there be in Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Teuta Durrës?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Teuta Durrës?

Our predicted score is Egnatia Rrogozhinë 1–0 Teuta Durrës, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Teuta Durrës?

Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Teuta Durrës (Superliga) kicks off on Thursday 29 October 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Demrozi Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.