Value bet: Sesvete to win @ 2.25 – our chance 48% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSesvete to win ✗48% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.97
Sesvete vs Dugopolje: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Sesvete welcome Dugopolje for a First NL fixture on Friday 28 August (16:00 WAT). In the table, Sesvete are 10th, lower half, on 15 points after 12 matches; Dugopolje are 15th (in the drop zone) with 11.
Current form
Sesvete, last 5: WLLWL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Karlovac 1919, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Dugopolje, last 5: DLLWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Kustosija, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (7 Mar 2026) it ended Sesvete 3–0 Dugopolje.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sesvete 1.5 xG, Dugopolje 1.0 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 53%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sesvete 48%, draw 25%, Dugopolje 28%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.91.
Price worth noting: Sesvete to win @2.25 – the bookmaker implies 44%, our ratings say 48%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (53%, odds 1.91). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sesvete 1–1 Dugopolje. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sesvete48%fair 2.09 · @2.25
Draw25%fair 4.06 · @2.80
Dugopolje28%fair 3.63 · @3.00
2.50Expected goals
1.47Sesvete xG
1.03Dugopolje xG
53%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–012%
2–19%
2–09%
0–18%
0–08%
From our goals model: Sesvete 1.5 – 1.0 Dugopolje expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Sesvete vs Dugopolje?
On our numbers Sesvete have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Dugopolje 28%.
How many goals will there be in Sesvete vs Dugopolje?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sesvete vs Dugopolje?
Our predicted score is Sesvete 1–1 Dugopolje, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Sesvete vs Dugopolje?
Sesvete vs Dugopolje (First NL) kicks off on Friday 28 August 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
