Value bet: HNK Cibalia to win @ 3.30 – our chance 34% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultVukovar to win ✗43% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.19
Vukovar vs HNK Cibalia: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
14:45 WAT, Saturday 5 September: Vukovar v HNK Cibalia in the First NL, played at Stadion Gradski vrt. In the table, Vukovar are 12th, lower half, on 14 points after 12 matches; HNK Cibalia are 5th (upper half) with 19.
Current form
Vukovar, last 5: LWWDL Their latest outing: 2–6 defeat to Dinamo Zagreb U21, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
HNK Cibalia, last 5: DDWLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Orijent 1919, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Vukovar 1.5 xG, HNK Cibalia 1.3 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Vukovar 43%, draw 23%, HNK Cibalia 34%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: HNK Cibalia to win @3.30 – the bookmaker implies 30%, our ratings say 34%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (57%, odds 1.80). Most likely score in line with that pick: Vukovar 1–1 HNK Cibalia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Vukovar43%fair 2.32 · @2.05
Draw23%fair 4.30 · @3.00
HNK Cibalia34%fair 2.98 · @3.30
2.83Expected goals
1.52Vukovar xG
1.31HNK Cibalia xG
57%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%
From our goals model: Vukovar 1.5 – 1.3 HNK Cibalia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Vukovar to win✗
43%
2.32
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.30
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.77
1.80
Draw no bet
Vukovar (draw no bet)
56%
1.78
–
Asian handicap
HNK Cibalia +1 (Asian handicap)✓
73%
1.36
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.86
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
First team to score
Vukovar to score first
51%
1.98
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.44
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Vukovar / FT Vukovar✗
25%
3.99
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.19
–
Recent results
Vukovar – last 6
LWWDLL
2 Sep
vs Dinamo Zagreb U21
2–6
L
28 Aug
vs Segesta Sisak
2–0
W
25 Aug
vs Radnički Dalj
4–1
W
21 Aug
@ Mladost Ždralovi
1–1
D
22 May
@ HNK Hajduk Split
3–6
L
8 May
@ HNK Rijeka
0–3
L
2.0Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
HNK Cibalia – last 6
DDWLLD
2 Sep
vs Orijent 1919
0–0
D
28 Aug
@ Bsk Bijelo Brdo
1–1
D
22 Aug
vs Dubrava Zagreb
2–1
W
8 Aug
@ Mladost Ždralovi
0–1
L
22 Jul
@ NK Osijek
0–3
L
30 May
@ Jarun
1–1
D
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Vukovar and HNK Cibalia.
What is the prediction for Vukovar vs HNK Cibalia?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Vukovar vs HNK Cibalia?
On our numbers Vukovar have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 23% and HNK Cibalia 34%.
How many goals will there be in Vukovar vs HNK Cibalia?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vukovar vs HNK Cibalia?
Our predicted score is Vukovar 1–1 HNK Cibalia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Vukovar vs HNK Cibalia?
Vukovar vs HNK Cibalia (First NL) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 14:45 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Gradski vrt.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
