Value bet: Croatia Zmijavci to win @ 2.80 – our chance 40% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultCroatia Zmijavci to win ✗40% · @2.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.36
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 7.07
Kustosija vs Croatia Zmijavci: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 20 September the First NL brings Kustosija against Croatia Zmijavci at Stadion Kustosija. Kick-off: 13:00 WAT. In the table, Kustosija are 4th, among the top four, on 19 points after 12 matches; Croatia Zmijavci are 2nd (among the top four) with 22. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Kustosija, last 5: LDLDL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Bsk Bijelo Brdo, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Croatia Zmijavci, last 5: LDWWW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Vukovar, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Croatia Zmijavci, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.8 for Kustosija.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Kustosija 1.0 xG, Croatia Zmijavci 1.0 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Kustosija 35%, draw 25%, Croatia Zmijavci 40%.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.83.
Price worth noting: Croatia Zmijavci to win @2.80 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 40%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (51%, odds 1.83). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kustosija 0–1 Croatia Zmijavci. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Kustosija35%fair 2.83 · @2.40
Draw25%fair 4.06 · @2.80
Croatia Zmijavci40%fair 2.50 · @2.80
2.00Expected goals
0.95Kustosija xG
1.05Croatia Zmijavci xG
49%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–114%
0–014%
1–114%
1–013%
0–27%
1–27%
From our goals model: Kustosija 1.0 – 1.0 Croatia Zmijavci expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Croatia Zmijavci to win✗
40%
2.50
2.80 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.36
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.94
1.83
Draw no bet
Croatia Zmijavci (draw no bet)✗
53%
1.88
–
Asian handicap
Kustosija +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
59%
1.68
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
95%
1.06
–
First team to score
Croatia Zmijavci to score first✗
45%
2.21
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
50%
2.00
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
22%
4.59
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
14%
7.07
–
Recent results
Kustosija – last 6
LDLDLW
16 Sep
vs Bsk Bijelo Brdo
1–2
L
12 Sep
@ HNK Cibalia
0–0
D
6 Sep
vs Dinamo Zagreb U21
0–1
L
2 Sep
@ Segesta Sisak
0–0
D
30 Aug
vs Mladost Ždralovi
1–2
L
25 Aug
vs HNK Zadar
3–1
W
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Croatia Zmijavci – last 6
LDWWWW
13 Sep
vs Vukovar
2–3
L
6 Sep
@ Orijent 1919
1–1
D
2 Sep
vs Bsk Bijelo Brdo
1–0
W
28 Aug
@ Dubrava Zagreb
2–1
W
23 Aug
vs Hrvace
3–0
W
30 May
@ Bsk Bijelo Brdo
1–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kustosija and Croatia Zmijavci.
What is the prediction for Kustosija vs Croatia Zmijavci?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.83.
Who will win Kustosija vs Croatia Zmijavci?
On our numbers Kustosija have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Croatia Zmijavci 40%.
How many goals will there be in Kustosija vs Croatia Zmijavci?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kustosija vs Croatia Zmijavci?
Our predicted score is Kustosija 0–1 Croatia Zmijavci, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Kustosija vs Croatia Zmijavci?
Kustosija vs Croatia Zmijavci (First NL) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Kustosija.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
