Value bet: Jadran LP to win @ 3.30 – our chance 36% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultVukovar to win ✗41% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · fair 1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · fair 1.84
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.56
Vukovar vs Jadran LP: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Vukovar welcome Jadran LP to Stadion Gradski vrt for a First NL fixture on Saturday 19 September (15:30 WAT). In the table, Vukovar are 12th, lower half, on 14 points after 12 matches; Jadran LP are 3rd (among the top four) with 20.
Current form
Vukovar, last 5: WWDLW Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Croatia Zmijavci, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 5. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game.
Jadran LP, last 5: WLDWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Orijent 1919, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Vukovar 1.7 xG, Jadran LP 1.5 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 62% and GG at 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Vukovar 41%, draw 23%, Jadran LP 36%.
Price worth noting: Jadran LP to win @3.30 – the bookmaker implies 30%, our ratings say 36%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Either team to win (77%). Most likely score in line with that pick: Vukovar 2–1 Jadran LP. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Vukovar41%fair 2.44 · @2.05
Draw23%fair 4.30 · @3.00
Jadran LP36%fair 2.79 · @3.30
3.20Expected goals
1.66Vukovar xG
1.54Jadran LP xG
54%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–19%
1–28%
1–07%
2–27%
0–16%
From our goals model: Vukovar 1.7 – 1.5 Jadran LP expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Vukovar to win✗
41%
2.44
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.84
–
Draw no bet
Vukovar (draw no bet)✗
53%
1.87
–
Asian handicap
Jadran LP +1 (Asian handicap)✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
78%
1.28
–
First team to score
Vukovar to score first
50%
2.01
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
38%
2.62
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Vukovar / FT Vukovar✗
24%
4.09
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.56
–
Recent results
Vukovar – last 6
WWDLWW
13 Sep
@ Croatia Zmijavci
3–2
W
9 Sep
vs HNK Cibalia
1–0
W
5 Sep
vs HNK Cibalia
1–1
D
2 Sep
vs Dinamo Zagreb U21
2–6
L
28 Aug
vs Segesta Sisak
2–0
W
25 Aug
vs Radnički Dalj
4–1
W
2.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Jadran LP – last 6
WLDWDW
12 Sep
vs Orijent 1919
1–0
W
6 Sep
@ Bsk Bijelo Brdo
0–1
L
2 Sep
vs Dubrava Zagreb
1–1
D
29 Aug
@ Hrvace
4–1
W
22 Aug
vs Opatija
2–2
D
30 May
vs Križevci
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Vukovar and Jadran LP.
On our numbers Vukovar have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Jadran LP 36%.
How many goals will there be in Vukovar vs Jadran LP?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vukovar vs Jadran LP?
Our predicted score is Vukovar 2–1 Jadran LP, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Vukovar vs Jadran LP?
Vukovar vs Jadran LP (First NL) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Gradski vrt.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
