Jadran LP vs Kustosija: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Jadran LP welcome Kustosija to NK Jadran for a First NL fixture on Saturday 26 September (15:00 WAT). In the table, Jadran LP are 3rd, among the top four, on 20 points after 12 matches; Kustosija are 4th (among the top four) with 19. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Jadran LP, last 5: WWLDW Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Vukovar, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Kustosija, last 5: WLDLD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Croatia Zmijavci, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Jadran LP, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.8 for Kustosija.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Jadran LP 1.4 xG, Kustosija 1.0 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 50%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Jadran LP 49%, draw 22%, Kustosija 29%.
GG/NG: GG (50%) at 1.83.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Jadran LP 1–0 Kustosija. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Jadran LP49%fair 2.03 · @2.00
Draw22%fair 4.64 · @3.30
Kustosija29%fair 3.44 · @3.20
2.32Expected goals
1.37Jadran LP xG
0.96Kustosija xG
50%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
1–113%
0–010%
0–19%
2–09%
2–19%
From our goals model: Jadran LP 1.4 – 1.0 Kustosija expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Jadran LP to win✓
49%
2.03
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
50%
1.99
1.83
Draw no bet
Jadran LP (draw no bet)✓
63%
1.59
–
Asian handicap
Kustosija +1 (Asian handicap)
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
70%
1.43
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.79
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
1.10
First team to score
Jadran LP to score first✓
53%
1.88
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Jadran LP / FT Jadran LP✗
27%
3.68
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.41
–
Recent results
Jadran LP – last 6
WWLDWD
19 Sep
@ Vukovar
3–2
W
12 Sep
vs Orijent 1919
1–0
W
6 Sep
@ Bsk Bijelo Brdo
0–1
L
2 Sep
vs Dubrava Zagreb
1–1
D
29 Aug
@ Hrvace
4–1
W
22 Aug
vs Opatija
2–2
D
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Kustosija – last 6
WLDLDL
20 Sep
vs Croatia Zmijavci
1–0
W
16 Sep
vs Bsk Bijelo Brdo
1–2
L
12 Sep
@ HNK Cibalia
0–0
D
6 Sep
vs Dinamo Zagreb U21
0–1
L
2 Sep
@ Segesta Sisak
0–0
D
30 Aug
vs Mladost Ždralovi
1–2
L
0.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Jadran LP and Kustosija.
What is the prediction for Jadran LP vs Kustosija?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Jadran LP vs Kustosija?
On our numbers Jadran LP have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Kustosija 29%.
How many goals will there be in Jadran LP vs Kustosija?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Jadran LP vs Kustosija?
Our predicted score is Jadran LP 1–0 Kustosija, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Jadran LP vs Kustosija?
Jadran LP vs Kustosija (First NL) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at NK Jadran.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
