Value bet: Jadran LP to win @ 3.10 – our chance 37% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSesvete to win ✗38% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.25
Sesvete vs Jadran LP: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 9 October the First NL brings Sesvete against Jadran LP. Kick-off: 14:00 WAT. In the table, Sesvete are 10th, lower half, on 15 points after 12 matches; Jadran LP are 3rd (among the top four) with 20.
Current form
Sesvete, last 5: LLWWL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Croatia Zmijavci, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Jadran LP, last 5: LWWWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Zrinjski, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Jadran LP, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.0 for Sesvete.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sesvete 1.3 xG, Jadran LP 1.3 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sesvete 38%, draw 24%, Jadran LP 37%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Jadran LP to win @3.10 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 37%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (53%, odds 1.85). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sesvete 1–1 Jadran LP. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sesvete38%fair 2.63 · @2.15
Draw24%fair 4.08 · @2.80
Jadran LP37%fair 2.67 · @3.10
2.57Expected goals
1.29Sesvete xG
1.28Jadran LP xG
53%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–010%
0–110%
2–18%
1–28%
0–08%
From our goals model: Sesvete 1.3 – 1.3 Jadran LP expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sesvete to win✗
38%
2.63
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.32
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.90
1.85
Draw no bet
Sesvete (draw no bet)
50%
1.98
–
Asian handicap
Jadran LP +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.90
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
–
First team to score
Sesvete to score first
46%
2.15
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sesvete / FT Sesvete✗
21%
4.70
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.25
–
Recent results
Sesvete – last 6
LLWWLL
27 Sep
@ Croatia Zmijavci
0–2
L
18 Sep
vs HNK Cibalia
1–2
L
11 Sep
@ Dinamo Zagreb U21
2–1
W
5 Sep
vs Segesta Sisak
2–0
W
2 Sep
@ Mladost Ždralovi
0–1
L
28 Aug
vs Dugopolje
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Jadran LP – last 6
LWWWLD
2 Oct
@ Zrinjski
1–2
L
26 Sep
vs Kustosija
1–0
W
19 Sep
@ Vukovar
3–2
W
12 Sep
vs Orijent 1919
1–0
W
6 Sep
@ Bsk Bijelo Brdo
0–1
L
2 Sep
vs Dubrava Zagreb
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sesvete and Jadran LP.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Sesvete vs Jadran LP?
On our numbers Sesvete have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Jadran LP 37%.
How many goals will there be in Sesvete vs Jadran LP?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sesvete vs Jadran LP?
Our predicted score is Sesvete 1–1 Jadran LP, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Sesvete vs Jadran LP?
Sesvete vs Jadran LP (First NL) kicks off on Friday 9 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
