Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Vukovar to win @ 1.90 – our chance 57% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultVukovar to win ✓57% · @1.90
Double chanceVukovar or draw ✓82% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.07
Vukovar vs Hrvace: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
14:30 WAT, Saturday 10 October: Vukovar v Hrvace in the First NL, played at Stadion Gradski vrt. In the table, Vukovar are 12th, lower half, on 14 points after 12 matches; Hrvace are 16th (in the drop zone) with 11. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Vukovar, last 5: LLLWW Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Dinamo Zagreb, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Hrvace, last 5: WWDLL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Orijent 1919, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Vukovar 1.9 xG, Hrvace 1.0 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Vukovar 57%, draw 25%, Hrvace 18%.
Lower-risk option: Vukovar or draw (82%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: Vukovar to win @1.90 – the bookmaker implies 53%, our ratings say 57%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Vukovar or draw (82%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Vukovar 1–0 Hrvace. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Vukovar57%fair 1.74 · @1.90
Draw25%fair 4.00 · @3.25
Hrvace18%fair 5.70 · @3.50
2.88Expected goals
1.90Vukovar xG
0.98Hrvace xG
58%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–011%
1–110%
2–010%
2–110%
3–06%
3–16%
From our goals model: Vukovar 1.9 – 1.0 Hrvace expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Vukovar to win✓
57%
1.74
1.90 ▲
Double chance
Vukovar or draw✓
82%
1.21
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.74
1.80
Draw no bet
Vukovar (draw no bet)✓
77%
1.31
–
Asian handicap
Hrvace +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.93
1.95
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
1.11
First team to score
Vukovar to score first✓
62%
1.61
–
Half-time result
Vukovar ahead at half-time✓
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Vukovar / FT Vukovar✓
37%
2.70
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.07
–
Recent results
Vukovar – last 6
LLLWWD
4 Oct
vs Dinamo Zagreb
0–4
L
27 Sep
@ Opatija
0–1
L
19 Sep
vs Jadran LP
2–3
L
13 Sep
@ Croatia Zmijavci
3–2
W
9 Sep
vs HNK Cibalia
1–0
W
5 Sep
vs HNK Cibalia
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Hrvace – last 6
WWDLLL
26 Sep
vs Orijent 1919
3–0
W
19 Sep
@ Bsk Bijelo Brdo
2–1
W
12 Sep
vs Dubrava Zagreb
0–0
D
6 Sep
@ Karlovac 1919
1–3
L
2 Sep
@ Opatija
0–1
L
29 Aug
vs Jadran LP
1–4
L
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Vukovar and Hrvace.
Our pick is Vukovar or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Vukovar vs Hrvace?
On our numbers Vukovar have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Hrvace 18%.
How many goals will there be in Vukovar vs Hrvace?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vukovar vs Hrvace?
Our predicted score is Vukovar 1–0 Hrvace, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Vukovar vs Hrvace?
Vukovar vs Hrvace (First NL) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Gradski vrt.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
