Mladost Ždralovi v Jadran LP Prediction & Expected Goals (26 Oct) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultMladost Ždralovi to win ✓39% · @2.40

Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.28

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.80

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗73% · @1.30

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.19

Mladost Ždralovi vs Jadran LP: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Mladost Ždralovi welcome Jadran LP for a First NL fixture on Monday 26 October (14:00 WAT). In the table, Mladost Ždralovi are 1st, leading the league, on 23 points after 12 matches; Jadran LP are 3rd (among the top four) with 20. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Mladost Ždralovi, last 5: LWLLW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Croatia Zmijavci, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Jadran LP, last 5: DDLWW Their latest outing: 4–4 draw with Dugopolje, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Jadran LP, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.2 for Mladost Ždralovi.

Head to head

When they last met (17 Apr 2026) it ended Mladost Ždralovi 0–0 Jadran LP.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Mladost Ždralovi 1.3 xG, Jadran LP 1.3 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 57%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Mladost Ždralovi 39%, draw 23%, Jadran LP 39%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.80.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mladost Ždralovi 1–1 Jadran LP. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Mladost Ždralovi39%fair 2.57 · @2.40

Draw23%fair 4.43 · @3.20

Jadran LP39%fair 2.59 · @2.62

2.62Expected goals

1.31Mladost Ždralovi xG

1.31Jadran LP xG

57%Both score

48%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%

1–010%

0–110%

2–18%

1–28%

0–07%

From our goals model: Mladost Ždralovi 1.3 – 1.3 Jadran LP expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Mladost Ždralovi to win ✓	39%	2.57	2.40
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	77%	1.29	1.28
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	57%	1.77	1.80
Draw no bet	Mladost Ždralovi (draw no bet) ✓	50%	1.99	–
Asian handicap	Jadran LP +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗	63%	1.59	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✗	73%	1.37	1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✓	52%	1.92	1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	73%	1.37	1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	86%	1.16	1.10
First team to score	Mladost Ždralovi to score first ✓	46%	2.15	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✓	43%	2.33	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Mladost Ždralovi / FT Mladost Ždralovi ✗	21%	4.69	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	8%	12.19	–

Mladost Ždralovi – last 6

LWLLWD

18 Oct	@ Croatia Zmijavci	1–3	L
9 Oct	vs HNK Cibalia	2–1	W
25 Sep	@ Dinamo Zagreb U21	0–1	L
18 Sep	vs Segesta Sisak	1–3	L
12 Sep	vs Karlovac 1919	1–0	W
9 Sep	@ Orijent 1919	2–2	D

1.2Scored / game

1.7Conceded / game

67%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

Jadran LP – last 6

DDLWWW

17 Oct	vs Dugopolje	4–4	D
9 Oct	@ Sesvete	1–1	D
2 Oct	@ Zrinjski	1–2	L
26 Sep	vs Kustosija	1–0	W
19 Sep	@ Vukovar	3–2	W
12 Sep	vs Orijent 1919	1–0	W

1.8Scored / game

1.5Conceded / game

67%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

First NL table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Mladost Ždralovi	12	7	2	3	+4	23
2	Croatia Zmijavci	12	7	1	4	+6	22
3	Jadran LP	12	5	5	2	+5	20
4	Kustosija	12	5	4	3	+3	19
5	HNK Cibalia	12	5	4	3	+1	19
6	Segesta Sisak	12	5	3	4	+3	18
7	Orijent 1919	12	5	3	4	0	18
8	Bsk Bijelo Brdo	12	5	2	5	-1	17
9	Opatija	12	5	2	5	-2	17
10	Sesvete	12	4	3	5	+3	15
11	Dinamo Zagreb U21	12	5	0	7	0	15
12	Vukovar	12	4	2	6	-3	14
13	Karlovac 1919	12	4	2	6	-7	14
14	Dubrava Zagreb	12	3	4	5	-2	13
15	Dugopolje	12	2	5	5	-5	11
16	Hrvace	12	3	2	7	-5	11

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Mladost Ždralovi vs Jadran LP?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Mladost Ždralovi vs Jadran LP?

On our numbers Mladost Ždralovi have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Jadran LP 39%.

How many goals will there be in Mladost Ždralovi vs Jadran LP?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Mladost Ždralovi vs Jadran LP?

Our predicted score is Mladost Ždralovi 1–1 Jadran LP, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Mladost Ždralovi vs Jadran LP?

Mladost Ždralovi vs Jadran LP (First NL) kicks off on Monday 26 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Mladost Ždralovi v Jadran LP: numbers & prediction