Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.30 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.30Odds
X
Value bet: Draw @ 3.30 – our chance 51% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +69%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultDraw ✗51% · @3.30
Double chanceYalova Yeşilovaspor or draw ✗80% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · fair 1.84
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–0 ✗9% · fair 10.95
Yalova Yeşilovaspor vs Tokat Bld Plevnespor: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Yalova Yeşilovaspor welcome Tokat Bld Plevnespor for a 3. Lig Group 1 fixture on Sunday 6 September (15:00 WAT). In the table, Yalova Yeşilovaspor are 15th, lower half, on 10 points after 10 matches; Tokat Bld Plevnespor are 17th (in the drop zone) with 9. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Yalova Yeşilovaspor, last 5: LLLDD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Etimesgut SK, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Tokat Bld Plevnespor, last 5: LLWDL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Yozgat Bld Bozokspor, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Tokat Bld Plevnespor, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.5 for Yalova Yeşilovaspor.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Yalova Yeşilovaspor 1.3 xG, Tokat Bld Plevnespor 1.1 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 46%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Yalova Yeşilovaspor 29%, draw 51%, Tokat Bld Plevnespor 20%.
Lower-risk option: Yalova Yeşilovaspor or draw (80%) at 1.30.
Price worth noting: Draw @3.30 – the bookmaker implies 30%, our ratings say 51%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Yalova Yeşilovaspor or draw (80%, odds 1.30 – longer than our fair 1.25, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Yalova Yeşilovaspor 1–1 Tokat Bld Plevnespor. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Yalova Yeşilovaspor29%fair 3.50 · @2.10
Draw51%fair 1.95 · @3.30
Tokat Bld Plevnespor20%fair 4.98 · @3.00
2.39Expected goals
1.28Yalova Yeşilovaspor xG
1.11Tokat Bld Plevnespor xG
46%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Yalova Yeşilovaspor 1.3 – 1.1 Tokat Bld Plevnespor expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Draw✗
51%
1.95
3.30 ▲
Double chance
Yalova Yeşilovaspor or draw✗
80%
1.25
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
54%
1.84
–
Draw no bet
Yalova Yeşilovaspor (draw no bet)✗
59%
1.70
–
Asian handicap
Tokat Bld Plevnespor +1 (Asian handicap)✓
77%
1.31
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.75
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Yalova Yeşilovaspor to score first✗
49%
2.05
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Yalova Yeşilovaspor / FT Yalova Yeşilovaspor✗
23%
4.29
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–0✗
9%
10.95
–
Recent results
Yalova Yeşilovaspor – last 6
LLLDDD
5 Apr
@ Etimesgut SK
0–2
L
28 Mar
vs 1926 Polatlı Belediye
1–2
L
24 Mar
@ Nilüfer Belediye
2–3
L
15 Mar
vs Silivrispor
0–0
D
7 Mar
@ Kartal Bulvarspor
2–2
D
28 Feb
vs Küçükçekmece Sinopspor
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Tokat Bld Plevnespor – last 6
LLWDLW
12 Apr
@ Yozgat Bld Bozokspor
0–2
L
5 Apr
@ Yeni Orduspor
0–6
L
29 Mar
vs Giresunspor
2–0
W
25 Mar
@ Pazarspor
0–0
D
15 Mar
vs Fatsa Belediyespor
2–3
L
8 Mar
@ Artvin Hopaspor
3–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Yalova Yeşilovaspor and Tokat Bld Plevnespor.
What is the prediction for Yalova Yeşilovaspor vs Tokat Bld Plevnespor?
Our pick is Yalova Yeşilovaspor or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Yalova Yeşilovaspor vs Tokat Bld Plevnespor?
On our numbers Yalova Yeşilovaspor have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 51% and Tokat Bld Plevnespor 20%.
How many goals will there be in Yalova Yeşilovaspor vs Tokat Bld Plevnespor?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Yalova Yeşilovaspor vs Tokat Bld Plevnespor?
Our predicted score is Yalova Yeşilovaspor 1–1 Tokat Bld Plevnespor, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Yalova Yeşilovaspor vs Tokat Bld Plevnespor?
Yalova Yeşilovaspor vs Tokat Bld Plevnespor (3. Lig Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
