Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Yalova Yeşilovaspor to win @ 1.80 – our chance 60% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultYalova Yeşilovaspor to win ✗60% · @1.80
Double chanceYalova Yeşilovaspor or draw ✓84% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗57% · fair 1.74
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗78% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.46
Yalova Yeşilovaspor vs Gölcükspor: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Yalova Yeşilovaspor welcome Gölcükspor for a 3. Lig Group 1 fixture on Sunday 20 September (14:00 WAT). In the table, Yalova Yeşilovaspor are 15th, lower half, on 10 points after 10 matches; Gölcükspor are 16th (in the drop zone) with 9. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Yalova Yeşilovaspor, last 5: DWLLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Galata, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Yalova Yeşilovaspor 1.7 xG, Gölcükspor 0.7 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 43%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Yalova Yeşilovaspor 60%, draw 25%, Gölcükspor 16%.
Lower-risk option: Yalova Yeşilovaspor or draw (84%) at 1.22.
Price worth noting: Yalova Yeşilovaspor to win @1.80 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 60%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Yalova Yeşilovaspor or draw (84%, odds 1.22 – longer than our fair 1.18, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Yalova Yeşilovaspor 1–0 Gölcükspor. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Yalova Yeşilovaspor60%fair 1.67 · @1.80
Draw25%fair 4.05 · @3.50
Gölcükspor16%fair 6.42 · @3.60
2.37Expected goals
1.66Yalova Yeşilovaspor xG
0.71Gölcükspor xG
43%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
2–013%
1–111%
0–09%
2–19%
3–07%
From our goals model: Yalova Yeşilovaspor 1.7 – 0.7 Gölcükspor expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Yalova Yeşilovaspor to win✗
60%
1.67
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Yalova Yeşilovaspor or draw✓
84%
1.18
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
57%
1.74
–
Draw no bet
Yalova Yeşilovaspor (draw no bet)
79%
1.26
–
Asian handicap
Yalova Yeşilovaspor -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
60%
1.67
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.78
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
78%
1.27
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
Yalova Yeşilovaspor to score first✓
63%
1.58
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Yalova Yeşilovaspor / FT Yalova Yeşilovaspor✗
37%
2.70
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.46
–
Recent results
Yalova Yeşilovaspor – last 6
DWLLLL
16 Sep
@ Galata
1–1
D
12 Sep
@ Beykoz İshaklıspor
2–1
W
6 Sep
vs Tokat Bld Plevnespor
0–3
L
5 Apr
@ Etimesgut SK
0–2
L
28 Mar
vs 1926 Polatlı Belediye
1–2
L
24 Mar
@ Nilüfer Belediye
2–3
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Gölcükspor – last 2
WL
13 Sep
vs Silivrispor
2–0
W
6 Sep
@ Amasyaspor 1968
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Yalova Yeşilovaspor and Gölcükspor.
What is the prediction for Yalova Yeşilovaspor vs Gölcükspor?
Our pick is Yalova Yeşilovaspor or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Yalova Yeşilovaspor vs Gölcükspor?
On our numbers Yalova Yeşilovaspor have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Gölcükspor 16%.
How many goals will there be in Yalova Yeşilovaspor vs Gölcükspor?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Yalova Yeşilovaspor vs Gölcükspor?
Our predicted score is Yalova Yeşilovaspor 1–0 Gölcükspor, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Yalova Yeşilovaspor vs Gölcükspor?
Yalova Yeşilovaspor vs Gölcükspor (3. Lig Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
