Value bet: Nilüfer Belediye to win @ 2.60 – our chance 45% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultNilüfer Belediye to win ✓45% · @2.60
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗55% · fair 1.81
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.46
Altay vs Nilüfer Belediye: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 20 September the 3. Lig Group 2 brings Altay against Nilüfer Belediye at Alsancak Mustafa Denizli Stadium. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT. In the table, Altay are 11th, lower half, on 10 points after 10 matches; Nilüfer Belediye are 1st (leading the league) with 22. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Altay, last 5: LDDDL Their latest outing: 2–4 defeat to Söke 1970, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Nilüfer Belediye, last 5: WWWLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Etimesgut SK, at home. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours Nilüfer Belediye, collecting 2.5 points per game to 0.7 for Altay.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Altay 1.1 xG, Nilüfer Belediye 1.3 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 45%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Altay 34%, draw 21%, Nilüfer Belediye 45%.
Price worth noting: Nilüfer Belediye to win @2.60 – the bookmaker implies 38%, our ratings say 45%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (55%, odds 1.80). Most likely score in line with that pick: Altay 1–1 Nilüfer Belediye. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Altay34%fair 2.94 · @2.30
Draw21%fair 4.71 · @3.40
Nilüfer Belediye45%fair 2.24 · @2.60
2.41Expected goals
1.09Altay xG
1.31Nilüfer Belediye xG
45%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–112%
1–010%
0–09%
1–29%
0–28%
From our goals model: Altay 1.1 – 1.3 Nilüfer Belediye expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nilüfer Belediye to win✓
45%
2.24
2.60 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
55%
1.81
–
Draw no bet
Nilüfer Belediye (draw no bet)✓
57%
1.76
–
Asian handicap
Altay +1 (Asian handicap)
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.83
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Nilüfer Belediye to score first
50%
2.01
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nilüfer Belediye / FT Nilüfer Belediye✓
24%
4.15
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.46
–
Recent results
Altay – last 6
LDDDLD
15 Sep
vs Söke 1970
2–4
L
12 Sep
@ Karsiyaka
1–1
D
6 Sep
vs Denizli İYG
1–1
D
5 Apr
vs İzmir Çoruhlu FK
1–1
D
29 Mar
@ Anadolu Üniversitesi
0–3
L
25 Mar
vs Alanya 1221 FK
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Nilüfer Belediye – last 6
WWWLWW
13 Sep
vs Etimesgut SK
1–0
W
6 Sep
@ Akşehirspor
4–0
W
5 Apr
vs Kartal Bulvarspor
2–1
W
28 Mar
@ Küçükçekmece Sinopspor
0–3
L
24 Mar
vs Yalova Yeşilovaspor
3–2
W
8 Mar
vs Çankaya FK
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Altay and Nilüfer Belediye.
What is the prediction for Altay vs Nilüfer Belediye?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Altay vs Nilüfer Belediye?
On our numbers Altay have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Nilüfer Belediye 45%.
How many goals will there be in Altay vs Nilüfer Belediye?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Altay vs Nilüfer Belediye?
Our predicted score is Altay 1–1 Nilüfer Belediye, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Altay vs Nilüfer Belediye?
Altay vs Nilüfer Belediye (3. Lig Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Alsancak Mustafa Denizli Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
