Value bet: Nilüfer Belediye to win @ 2.75 – our chance 43% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultNilüfer Belediye to win ✓43% · @2.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · fair 1.26
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · fair 1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–3 ✗3% · fair 31.64
Gaziemirspor vs Nilüfer Belediye: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
13:30 WAT, Saturday 3 October: Gaziemirspor v Nilüfer Belediye in the 3. Lig Group 2. In the table, Gaziemirspor are 10th, lower half, on 10 points after 10 matches; Nilüfer Belediye are 1st (leading the league) with 22. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Gaziemirspor, last 5: WWWLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Karsiyaka, away. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Nilüfer Belediye, last 5: DWWWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Bursa Yıldırımspor, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Gaziemirspor 1.2 xG, Nilüfer Belediye 1.4 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 48%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Gaziemirspor 36%, draw 21%, Nilüfer Belediye 43%.
Price worth noting: Nilüfer Belediye to win @2.75 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 43%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (50%, odds 1.80). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gaziemirspor 1–2 Nilüfer Belediye. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Gaziemirspor36%fair 2.75 · @2.15
Draw21%fair 4.79 · @3.50
Nilüfer Belediye43%fair 2.34 · @2.75
2.58Expected goals
1.22Gaziemirspor xG
1.36Nilüfer Belediye xG
48%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–110%
1–09%
1–29%
2–18%
0–08%
From our goals model: Gaziemirspor 1.2 – 1.4 Nilüfer Belediye expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nilüfer Belediye to win✓
43%
2.34
2.75 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
52%
1.91
–
Draw no bet
Nilüfer Belediye (draw no bet)✓
54%
1.85
–
Asian handicap
Gaziemirspor +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
60%
1.67
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
50%
1.99
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
First team to score
Nilüfer Belediye to score first✓
49%
2.06
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nilüfer Belediye / FT Nilüfer Belediye✓
23%
4.31
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–3✗
3%
31.64
–
Recent results
Gaziemirspor – last 5
WWWLL
26 Sep
@ Karsiyaka
1–0
W
20 Sep
vs Denizli İYG
5–0
W
16 Sep
@ Bucaspor 1928
4–0
W
12 Sep
@ Söke 1970
0–2
L
6 Sep
vs Ayvalikgucu
0–3
L
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Nilüfer Belediye – last 6
DWWWWL
27 Sep
vs Bursa Yıldırımspor
0–0
D
20 Sep
@ Altay
2–1
W
13 Sep
vs Etimesgut SK
1–0
W
6 Sep
@ Akşehirspor
4–0
W
5 Apr
vs Kartal Bulvarspor
2–1
W
28 Mar
@ Küçükçekmece Sinopspor
0–3
L
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gaziemirspor and Nilüfer Belediye.
What is the prediction for Gaziemirspor vs Nilüfer Belediye?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 50% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Gaziemirspor vs Nilüfer Belediye?
On our numbers Gaziemirspor have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Nilüfer Belediye 43%.
How many goals will there be in Gaziemirspor vs Nilüfer Belediye?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gaziemirspor vs Nilüfer Belediye?
Our predicted score is Gaziemirspor 1–2 Nilüfer Belediye, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Gaziemirspor vs Nilüfer Belediye?
Gaziemirspor vs Nilüfer Belediye (3. Lig Group 2) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
