Karsiyaka vs Nilüfer Belediye: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Wednesday 11 November the 3. Lig Group 2 brings Karsiyaka against Nilüfer Belediye. Kick-off: 13:30 WAT. In the table, Karsiyaka are 7th, upper half, on 18 points after 10 matches; Nilüfer Belediye are 1st (leading the league) with 22.
Current form
Karsiyaka, last 5: WWDWD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Bigaspor, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Nilüfer Belediye, last 5: DWWDD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Denizli İYG, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Karsiyaka 1.3 xG, Nilüfer Belediye 1.1 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 59%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Karsiyaka 47%, draw 25%, Nilüfer Belediye 28%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.51.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (71%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Karsiyaka 1–1 Nilüfer Belediye. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Karsiyaka47%fair 2.12 · @1.90
Draw25%fair 4.03 · @3.55
Nilüfer Belediye28%fair 3.56 · @3.18
2.37Expected goals
1.30Karsiyaka xG
1.07Nilüfer Belediye xG
59%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Karsiyaka 1.3 – 1.1 Nilüfer Belediye expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Karsiyaka
Nilüfer Belediye
Attack vs 3. Lig Group 2 average
+12%
+23%
Goals conceded vs average
-39%
-44%
Our expected goals here
0.94
0.98
Our own ratings from every 3. Lig Group 2 result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Karsiyaka to win✓
47%
2.12
1.90
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.19
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.70
1.51
Draw no bet
Karsiyaka (draw no bet)✓
63%
1.60
–
Asian handicap
Nilüfer Belediye +1 (Asian handicap)
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.14
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
50%
2.00
1.58
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.42
1.44
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
1.14
First team to score
Karsiyaka to score first✗
50%
2.02
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Karsiyaka / FT Karsiyaka✗
24%
4.17
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
8%
11.87
–
Recent results
Karsiyaka – last 6
WWDWDW
7 Nov
vs Bigaspor
2–0
W
1 Nov
@ Denizli İYG
6–0
W
27 Oct
@ Boluspor
1–1
D
24 Oct
vs Söke 1970
2–1
W
18 Oct
@ Ayvalikgucu
0–0
D
11 Oct
vs Anadolu Üniversitesi
1–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Nilüfer Belediye – last 6
DWWDDW
7 Nov
vs Denizli İYG
0–0
D
1 Nov
@ Söke 1970
7–1
W
28 Oct
@ Ankara Demirspor
1–0
W
24 Oct
vs Ayvalikgucu
1–1
D
18 Oct
@ Anadolu Üniversitesi
1–1
D
11 Oct
vs Kepezspor
1–0
W
1.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Karsiyaka and Nilüfer Belediye.
What is the prediction for Karsiyaka vs Nilüfer Belediye?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Karsiyaka vs Nilüfer Belediye?
On our numbers Karsiyaka have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Nilüfer Belediye 28%.
How many goals will there be in Karsiyaka vs Nilüfer Belediye?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Karsiyaka vs Nilüfer Belediye?
Our predicted score is Karsiyaka 1–1 Nilüfer Belediye, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Karsiyaka vs Nilüfer Belediye?
Karsiyaka vs Nilüfer Belediye (3. Lig Group 2) kicks off on Wednesday 11 November 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
