Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Elazığspor to win @ 1.83 – our chance 58% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultElazığspor to win ✓58% · @1.83
Double chanceElazığspor or draw ✓81% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.17
Elazığspor vs Aliağa FAŞ: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Aliağa FAŞ travel to face Elazığspor on Saturday 19 September in the 2. Lig, with Elazig Ataturk Stadyumu the venue – the ball rolls at 17:00 WAT. In the table, Elazığspor are 1st, leading the league, on 25 points after 10 matches; Aliağa FAŞ are 4th (among the top four) with 22. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Elazığspor, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Adana Demirspor, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Aliağa FAŞ, last 5: WWDDW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Isparta 32 Spor, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.5 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours Elazığspor, collecting 3.0 points per game to 2.3 for Aliağa FAŞ.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Elazığspor 2.1 xG, Aliağa FAŞ 1.2 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 63% for three or more goals, 60% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Elazığspor 58%, draw 22%, Aliağa FAŞ 19%.
Lower-risk option: Elazığspor or draw (81%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.65.
Price worth noting: Elazığspor to win @1.83 – the bookmaker implies 55%, our ratings say 58%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Elazığspor or draw (81%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Elazığspor 2–1 Aliağa FAŞ. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Elazığspor58%fair 1.72 · @1.83
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.20
Aliağa FAŞ19%fair 5.17 · @3.80
3.25Expected goals
2.10Elazığspor xG
1.15Aliağa FAŞ xG
60%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
1–19%
2–09%
1–08%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Elazığspor 2.1 – 1.2 Aliağa FAŞ expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Elazığspor to win✓
58%
1.72
1.83 ▲
Double chance
Elazığspor or draw✓
81%
1.24
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.66
1.65
Draw no bet
Elazığspor (draw no bet)✓
75%
1.33
–
Asian handicap
Aliağa FAŞ +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.20
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
59%
1.69
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
77%
1.30
–
First team to score
Elazığspor to score first✓
62%
1.61
–
Half-time result
Elazığspor ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Elazığspor / FT Elazığspor✓
38%
2.65
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.17
–
Recent results
Elazığspor – last 6
WWWWWW
12 Sep
@ Adana Demirspor
2–0
W
6 Sep
vs Sebat Gençlikspor
3–1
W
4 May
vs Adana 01 FK
2–1
W
30 Apr
@ Adana 01 FK
4–2
W
19 Apr
@ İskenderunspor
1–0
W
12 Apr
vs Erbaaspor
2–0
W
2.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Aliağa FAŞ – last 6
WWDDWW
13 Sep
vs Isparta 32 Spor
2–0
W
6 Sep
@ Arnavutköy Belediyespor
4–1
W
30 Apr
vs Muş Sport Klübü
1–1
D
19 Apr
@ 68 Aksaray Belediyespor
1–1
D
12 Apr
vs Menemen FK
5–0
W
4 Apr
@ Kırklarelispor
2–1
W
2.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Elazığspor and Aliağa FAŞ.
What is the prediction for Elazığspor vs Aliağa FAŞ?
Our pick is Elazığspor or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Elazığspor vs Aliağa FAŞ?
On our numbers Elazığspor have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Aliağa FAŞ 19%.
How many goals will there be in Elazığspor vs Aliağa FAŞ?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Elazığspor vs Aliağa FAŞ?
Our predicted score is Elazığspor 2–1 Aliağa FAŞ, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Elazığspor vs Aliağa FAŞ?
Elazığspor vs Aliağa FAŞ (2. Lig) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Elazig Ataturk Stadyumu.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Ankaragücü1
Serik Spor1