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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Kastamonuspor v Hatayspor: numbers & prediction

2. Lig · Turkey
1–0
FT
Kastamonuspor 19%Draw 24%Hatayspor 57% Expected goals 0.91 – 1.76
57%
Betarazi pick

Hatayspor to win

Fair pick · fair odds 1.76 · bookmaker 1.73 · Lost ✗

4/10Rating
1.73Odds

Picks by market

ResultHatayspor to win ✗57% · @1.73
Double chanceHatayspor or draw ✗81% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · fair 1.97
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–3 ✗6% · fair 15.95

Kastamonuspor vs Hatayspor: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Kastamonuspor welcome Hatayspor for a 2. Lig fixture on Sunday 20 September (13:30 WAT). In the table, Kastamonuspor are 15th, lower half, on 4 points after 10 matches; Hatayspor are 17th (in the drop zone) with 0.

Current form

Kastamonuspor, last 5: LLLDL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to 68 Aksaray Belediyespor, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Hatayspor, last 5: DLWLD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Çorluspor 1947, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Hatayspor, collecting 0.8 points per game to 0.2 for Kastamonuspor.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Kastamonuspor 0.9 xG, Hatayspor 1.8 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 49%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Kastamonuspor 19%, draw 24%, Hatayspor 57%.
  • Lower-risk option: Hatayspor or draw (81%) at 1.17.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Hatayspor to win (57%, odds 1.73). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kastamonuspor 0–1 Hatayspor. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Kastamonuspor19%fair 5.29 · @4.00
Draw24%fair 4.13 · @3.50
Hatayspor57%fair 1.76 · @1.73
2.67Expected goals
0.91Kastamonuspor xG
1.76Hatayspor xG
49%Both score
52%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–112%
1–111%
0–211%
1–210%
0–07%
1–06%

From our goals model: Kastamonuspor 0.9 – 1.8 Hatayspor expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultHatayspor to win ✗57%1.761.73
Double chanceHatayspor or draw ✗81%1.231.17
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓51%1.97–
Draw no betHatayspor (draw no bet) ✗75%1.33–
Asian handicapKastamonuspor +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓68%1.48–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75%1.34–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗52%1.931.75
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓72%1.39–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓87%1.15–
First team to scoreHatayspor to score first ✗61%1.63–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓41%2.42–
Half-time / full-timeHT Hatayspor / FT Hatayspor ✗36%2.81–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–3 ✗6%15.95–

Recent results

Kastamonuspor – last 6

LLLDLL
13 Sep@ 68 Aksaray Belediyespor0–3L
6 Sepvs Çorluspor 19470–5L
12 Apr@ Şanlıurfaspor2–5L
8 Aprvs Karaman FK2–2D
4 Apr@ Karacabey Belediyespor0–4L
29 Marvs Batman Petrolspor1–2L
0.8Scored / game
3.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Hatayspor – last 6

DLWLDL
13 Sep@ Çorluspor 19470–0D
6 Sepvs Güzide Gebzespor0–2L
1 Mayvs Vanspor FK3–1W
25 Apr@ Serik Spor2–4L
18 Aprvs Sakaryaspor1–1D
11 Apr@ Sarıyer0–4L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Kastamonuspor and Hatayspor.

Kastamonuspor vs Hatayspor head-to-head page →

2. Lig table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Elazığspor10811+2125
2Güzide Gebzespor10730+1024
3Muş Sport Klübü10721+1623
4Aliağa FAŞ10712+522
5Çorluspor 194710622+920
6İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik10613+519
7Şanlıurfaspor10532+818
8Erbaaspor10514+516
9Menemen FK10424+114
10Sebat Gençlikspor10334+512
11Ankaraspor10406-412
12Isparta 32 Spor10325-511
13Somaspor10325-711
1468 Aksaray Belediyespor1023509
15Kastamonuspor10217-254
16Arnavutköy Belediyespor10019-170
17Hatayspor10118-140
18Adana Demirspor10217-130

More 2. Lig predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Kastamonuspor vs Hatayspor?

Our pick is Hatayspor to win with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.

Who will win Kastamonuspor vs Hatayspor?

On our numbers Kastamonuspor have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Hatayspor 57%.

How many goals will there be in Kastamonuspor vs Hatayspor?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Kastamonuspor vs Hatayspor?

Our predicted score is Kastamonuspor 0–1 Hatayspor, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Kastamonuspor vs Hatayspor?

Kastamonuspor vs Hatayspor (2. Lig) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.