Şanlıurfaspor v Hatayspor Prediction & Expected Goals (17 Oct) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultŞanlıurfaspor to win ✓69% · @1.25

Double chanceŞanlıurfaspor or draw ✓91% · @1.04

Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.70

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗79% · fair 1.26

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.60

Şanlıurfaspor vs Hatayspor: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 17 October the 2. Lig brings Şanlıurfaspor against Hatayspor. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT. In the table, Şanlıurfaspor are 7th, upper half, on 18 points after 10 matches; Hatayspor are 17th (in the drop zone) with 0. There are 18 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Şanlıurfaspor, last 5: WDLDD Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Çorluspor 1947, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Hatayspor, last 5: LLLWL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Elazığspor, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Momentum favours Şanlıurfaspor, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.7 for Hatayspor.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Şanlıurfaspor 1.8 xG, Hatayspor 0.5 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 49%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Şanlıurfaspor 69%, draw 22%, Hatayspor 9%.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.70.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Şanlıurfaspor to win (69%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Şanlıurfaspor 1–0 Hatayspor. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Şanlıurfaspor69%fair 1.44 · @1.25

Draw22%fair 4.54 · @4.60

Hatayspor9%fair 11.57 · @11.00

2.33Expected goals

1.83Şanlıurfaspor xG

0.50Hatayspor xG

49%Both score

41%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–018%

2–016%

3–010%

0–010%

1–19%

2–18%

From our goals model: Şanlıurfaspor 1.8 – 0.5 Hatayspor expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Şanlıurfaspor to win ✓	69%	1.44	1.25
Double chance	Şanlıurfaspor or draw ✓	91%	1.09	1.04
Both teams to score	Not both teams to score ✗	51%	1.95	1.70
Draw no bet	Şanlıurfaspor (draw no bet) ✓	89%	1.12	–
Asian handicap	Şanlıurfaspor -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓	70%	1.43	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	68%	1.48	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✗	59%	1.70	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	79%	1.26	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✗	91%	1.10	–
First team to score	Şanlıurfaspor to score first	71%	1.41	–
Half-time result	Şanlıurfaspor ahead at half-time ✓	48%	2.08	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Şanlıurfaspor / FT Şanlıurfaspor ✓	45%	2.24	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–0 ✗	18%	5.60	–

Şanlıurfaspor – last 6

WDLDDW

10 Oct	@ Çorluspor 1947	3–2	W
5 Oct	vs Güzide Gebzespor	1–1	D
27 Sep	@ Aliağa FAŞ	1–2	L
19 Sep	vs Adana Demirspor	1–1	D
13 Sep	@ Sebat Gençlikspor	3–3	D
6 Sep	vs Ankaraspor	1–0	W

1.7Scored / game

1.5Conceded / game

83%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

Hatayspor – last 6

LLLWLD

11 Oct	vs Elazığspor	0–3	L
7 Oct	vs Karaköprü Belediyespor	1–2	L
3 Oct	@ Isparta 32 Spor	0–1	L
27 Sep	vs Arnavutköy Belediyespor	2–0	W
20 Sep	@ Kastamonuspor	0–1	L
13 Sep	@ Çorluspor 1947	0–0	D

0.5Scored / game

1.2Conceded / game

17%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Elazığspor	10	8	1	1	+21	25
2	Güzide Gebzespor	10	7	3	0	+10	24
3	Muş Sport Klübü	10	7	2	1	+16	23
4	Aliağa FAŞ	10	7	1	2	+5	22
5	Çorluspor 1947	10	6	2	2	+9	20
6	İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik	10	6	1	3	+5	19
7	Şanlıurfaspor	10	5	3	2	+8	18
8	Erbaaspor	10	5	1	4	+5	16
9	Menemen FK	10	4	2	4	+1	14
10	Sebat Gençlikspor	10	3	3	4	+5	12
11	Ankaraspor	10	4	0	6	-4	12
12	Isparta 32 Spor	10	3	2	5	-5	11
13	Somaspor	10	3	2	5	-7	11
14	68 Aksaray Belediyespor	10	2	3	5	0	9
15	Kastamonuspor	10	2	1	7	-25	4
16	Arnavutköy Belediyespor	10	0	1	9	-17	0
17	Hatayspor	10	1	1	8	-14	0
18	Adana Demirspor	10	2	1	7	-13	0

Team

Pts

+21

+10

+16

İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik

-4

-5

-7

68 Aksaray Belediyespor

Kastamonuspor

-25

Arnavutköy Belediyespor

-17

Hatayspor

-14

Adana Demirspor

-13

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Şanlıurfaspor vs Hatayspor?

Our pick is Şanlıurfaspor to win with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Şanlıurfaspor vs Hatayspor?

On our numbers Şanlıurfaspor have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Hatayspor 9%.

How many goals will there be in Şanlıurfaspor vs Hatayspor?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Şanlıurfaspor vs Hatayspor?

Our predicted score is Şanlıurfaspor 1–0 Hatayspor, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Şanlıurfaspor vs Hatayspor?

Şanlıurfaspor vs Hatayspor (2. Lig) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Şanlıurfaspor v Hatayspor: numbers & prediction