Somaspor v Aliağa FAŞ: numbers & prediction

Somaspor vs Aliağa FAŞ: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

17:00 WAT, Sunday 18 October: Somaspor v Aliağa FAŞ in the 2. Lig. In the table, Somaspor are 13th, lower half, on 11 points after 10 matches; Aliağa FAŞ are 4th (among the top four) with 22.

Current form

Somaspor, last 5: LWWLW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Adana Demirspor, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.

Aliağa FAŞ, last 5: WWWLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Menemen FK, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game.

Momentum favours Aliağa FAŞ, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.7 for Somaspor.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Somaspor 1.2 xG, Aliağa FAŞ 2.5 xG – a total near 3.6. That is an open game on paper: 70% for three or more goals, 62% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

• 1X2 according to our numbers – Somaspor 13%, draw 23%, Aliağa FAŞ 64%.
• GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.67.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (62%, odds 1.67 – longer than our fair 1.62, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Somaspor 1–2 Aliağa FAŞ. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.