Hatayspor v Erbaaspor Prediction & Expected Goals (24 Oct) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultErbaaspor to win ✓46% · @2.20

Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.62

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.86

Hatayspor vs Erbaaspor: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

12:30 WAT, Saturday 24 October: Hatayspor v Erbaaspor in the 2. Lig, played at Mersin Stadyumu. In the table, Hatayspor are 17th, in the drop zone, on 0 points after 10 matches; Erbaaspor are 8th (upper half) with 16. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Hatayspor, last 5: LLLLW Their latest outing: 2–4 defeat to Şanlıurfaspor, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Erbaaspor, last 5: LLLLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Çorluspor 1947, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Erbaaspor, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.5 for Hatayspor.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Hatayspor 1.4 xG, Erbaaspor 1.7 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 61% for three or more goals, 61% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Hatayspor 31%, draw 23%, Erbaaspor 46%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.62.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (61%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Hatayspor 1–1 Erbaaspor. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Hatayspor31%fair 3.23 · @2.88

Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.10

Erbaaspor46%fair 2.16 · @2.20

3.14Expected goals

1.39Hatayspor xG

1.75Erbaaspor xG

61%Both score

61%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%

1–29%

0–18%

2–17%

0–27%

2–26%

From our goals model: Hatayspor 1.4 – 1.7 Erbaaspor expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Erbaaspor to win ✓	46%	2.16	2.20
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	77%	1.30	1.30
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	61%	1.64	1.62
Draw no bet	Erbaaspor (draw no bet) ✓	60%	1.67	–
Asian handicap	Hatayspor +1 (Asian handicap) ✗	69%	1.46	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	82%	1.22	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	61%	1.65	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	62%	1.62	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	79%	1.26	–
First team to score	Erbaaspor to score first ✓	53%	1.88	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	38%	2.60	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Erbaaspor / FT Erbaaspor ✓	28%	3.58	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2 ✗	9%	10.86	–

Hatayspor – last 6

LLLLWL

17 Oct	@ Şanlıurfaspor	2–4	L
11 Oct	vs Elazığspor	0–3	L
7 Oct	vs Karaköprü Belediyespor	1–2	L
3 Oct	@ Isparta 32 Spor	0–1	L
27 Sep	vs Arnavutköy Belediyespor	2–0	W
20 Sep	@ Kastamonuspor	0–1	L

0.8Scored / game

1.8Conceded / game

33%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

Erbaaspor – last 6

LLLLWW

18 Oct	vs Çorluspor 1947	0–1	L
11 Oct	@ Güzide Gebzespor	1–2	L
7 Oct	@ Pazarspor	1–3	L
3 Oct	vs Aliağa FAŞ	2–4	L
27 Sep	@ Adana Demirspor	3–0	W
20 Sep	vs Sebat Gençlikspor	3–2	W

1.7Scored / game

2.0Conceded / game

67%Both scored

83%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Elazığspor	10	8	1	1	+21	25
2	Güzide Gebzespor	10	7	3	0	+10	24
3	Muş Sport Klübü	10	7	2	1	+16	23
4	Aliağa FAŞ	10	7	1	2	+5	22
5	Çorluspor 1947	10	6	2	2	+9	20
6	İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik	10	6	1	3	+5	19
7	Şanlıurfaspor	10	5	3	2	+8	18
8	Erbaaspor	10	5	1	4	+5	16
9	Menemen FK	10	4	2	4	+1	14
10	Sebat Gençlikspor	10	3	3	4	+5	12
11	Ankaraspor	10	4	0	6	-4	12
12	Isparta 32 Spor	10	3	2	5	-5	11
13	Somaspor	10	3	2	5	-7	11
14	68 Aksaray Belediyespor	10	2	3	5	0	9
15	Kastamonuspor	10	2	1	7	-25	4
16	Arnavutköy Belediyespor	10	0	1	9	-17	0
17	Hatayspor	10	1	1	8	-14	0
18	Adana Demirspor	10	2	1	7	-13	0

Team

Pts

+21

+10

+16

İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik

-4

-5

-7

68 Aksaray Belediyespor

Kastamonuspor

-25

Arnavutköy Belediyespor

-17

Hatayspor

-14

Adana Demirspor

-13

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Hatayspor vs Erbaaspor?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.

Who will win Hatayspor vs Erbaaspor?

On our numbers Hatayspor have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Erbaaspor 46%.

How many goals will there be in Hatayspor vs Erbaaspor?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Hatayspor vs Erbaaspor?

Our predicted score is Hatayspor 1–1 Erbaaspor, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is Hatayspor vs Erbaaspor?

Hatayspor vs Erbaaspor (2. Lig) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Mersin Stadyumu.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Hatayspor v Erbaaspor: numbers & prediction