Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.38 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.38Odds
2
Value bet: Somaspor to win @ 2.83 – our chance 40% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultSomaspor to win ✓40% · @2.83
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗77% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.81
Hatayspor vs Somaspor: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 8 November the 2. Lig brings Hatayspor against Somaspor at Mersin Stadyumu. Kick-off: 11:00 WAT. In the table, Hatayspor are 17th, in the drop zone, on 0 points after 10 matches; Somaspor are 13th (lower half) with 11.
Current form
Hatayspor, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Menemen FK, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Somaspor, last 5: DLDLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Sebat Gençlikspor, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Hatayspor 1.4 xG, Somaspor 1.5 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 61%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Hatayspor 39%, draw 21%, Somaspor 40%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.55.
Price worth noting: Somaspor to win @2.83 – the bookmaker implies 35%, our ratings say 40%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (66%, odds 1.38). Most likely score in line with that pick: Hatayspor 1–1 Somaspor. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Hatayspor39%fair 2.58 · @2.12
Draw21%fair 4.70 · @3.36
Somaspor40%fair 2.50 · @2.83
2.88Expected goals
1.42Hatayspor xG
1.45Somaspor xG
61%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–28%
2–18%
0–18%
1–08%
2–26%
From our goals model: Hatayspor 1.4 – 1.5 Somaspor expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Somaspor to win✓
40%
2.50
2.83 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
61%
1.65
1.55
Draw no bet
Somaspor (draw no bet)✓
51%
1.97
–
Asian handicap
Hatayspor +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
77%
1.29
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.82
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.50
1.38
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
82%
1.21
1.11
First team to score
Somaspor to score first✓
48%
2.10
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.46
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Somaspor / FT Somaspor✓
22%
4.47
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
11.81
–
Recent results
Hatayspor – last 6
LLLLLL
1 Nov
@ Menemen FK
0–3
L
24 Oct
vs Erbaaspor
0–3
L
17 Oct
@ Şanlıurfaspor
2–4
L
11 Oct
vs Elazığspor
0–3
L
7 Oct
vs Karaköprü Belediyespor
1–2
L
3 Oct
@ Isparta 32 Spor
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Somaspor – last 6
DLDLLL
4 Nov
vs Sebat Gençlikspor
0–0
D
1 Nov
vs Çorluspor 1947
0–2
L
28 Oct
@ Fatih Karagümrük
0–0
D
24 Oct
@ Güzide Gebzespor
1–4
L
18 Oct
vs Aliağa FAŞ
1–2
L
11 Oct
@ Adana Demirspor
0–3
L
0.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hatayspor and Somaspor.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.
Who will win Hatayspor vs Somaspor?
On our numbers Hatayspor have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Somaspor 40%.
How many goals will there be in Hatayspor vs Somaspor?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hatayspor vs Somaspor?
Our predicted score is Hatayspor 1–1 Somaspor, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Hatayspor vs Somaspor?
Hatayspor vs Somaspor (2. Lig) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Mersin Stadyumu.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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