Gimcheon Sangmu FC 39%Draw 27%Suwon City FC 34%Expected goals 1.64 – 1.79
65%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.57Odds
2
Value bet: Suwon City FC to win @ 3.20 – our chance 34% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultGimcheon Sangmu FC to win ✓39% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.57
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓67% · fair 1.50
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓8% · fair 12.84
Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Suwon City FC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Wednesday 29 July the FA Cup brings Gimcheon Sangmu FC against Suwon City FC at Gimcheon Stadium. Kick-off: 11:00 WAT.
Current form
Gimcheon Sangmu FC, last 5: WDLDD Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Daejeon Citizen, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Suwon City FC, last 5: WDWWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Daegu FC, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.8 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours Suwon City FC, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.0 for Gimcheon Sangmu FC.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Gimcheon Sangmu FC 1.6 xG, Suwon City FC 1.8 xG – a total near 3.4. That is an open game on paper: 67% for three or more goals, 65% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Gimcheon Sangmu FC 39%, draw 27%, Suwon City FC 34%.
GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.57.
Price worth noting: Suwon City FC to win @3.20 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 34%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (65%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gimcheon Sangmu FC 1–1 Suwon City FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Gimcheon Sangmu FC39%fair 2.56 · @2.05
Draw27%fair 3.74 · @3.20
Suwon City FC34%fair 2.93 · @3.20
3.43Expected goals
1.64Gimcheon Sangmu FC xG
1.79Suwon City FC xG
65%Both score
67%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
1–29%
2–18%
2–27%
0–16%
1–05%
From our goals model: Gimcheon Sangmu FC 1.6 – 1.8 Suwon City FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Gimcheon Sangmu FC to win✓
39%
2.56
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.37
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
65%
1.55
1.57
Draw no bet
Gimcheon Sangmu FC (draw no bet)✓
53%
1.87
–
Asian handicap
Gimcheon Sangmu FC +1 (Asian handicap)✓
72%
1.38
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
55%
1.81
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
First team to score
Suwon City FC to score first✗
51%
1.98
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
37%
2.73
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Suwon City FC / FT Suwon City FC✗
25%
3.94
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
8%
12.84
–
Recent results
Gimcheon Sangmu FC – last 6
WDLDDL
25 Jul
vs Daejeon Citizen
3–2
W
22 Jul
@ Gwangju FC
1–1
D
18 Jul
@ Gangwon FC
0–2
L
11 Jul
vs Bucheon FC 1995
1–1
D
5 Jul
vs Jeju United FC
1–1
D
17 May
@ Jeonbuk Motors
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Suwon City FC – last 6
WDWWWD
25 Jul
@ Daegu FC
2–1
W
18 Jul
vs Seoul E-Land FC
2–2
D
15 Jul
vs Pyeongchang United
3–2
W
10 Jul
vs Jeonnam Dragons
5–0
W
4 Jul
@ Ansan Greeners
3–1
W
7 Jun
@ Cheonan City
2–2
D
2.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gimcheon Sangmu FC and Suwon City FC.
What is the prediction for Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Suwon City FC?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Suwon City FC?
On our numbers Gimcheon Sangmu FC have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Suwon City FC 34%.
How many goals will there be in Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Suwon City FC?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Suwon City FC?
Our predicted score is Gimcheon Sangmu FC 1–1 Suwon City FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Suwon City FC?
Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Suwon City FC (FA Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 29 July 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Gimcheon Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
FA Cup · South-Korea · Gimcheon Stadium
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