Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · fair 1.73
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓72% · @1.53
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–1 ✓7% · fair 13.46
BFC Daugavpils vs Ogre United: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 14 August the Cup brings BFC Daugavpils against Ogre United at Stadions Celtnieks. Kick-off: 16:00 WAT.
Current form
BFC Daugavpils, last 5: WWLWD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Tukums, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game.
Ogre United, last 5: LDLDW Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Riga, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours BFC Daugavpils, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.8 for Ogre United.
Head to head
When they last met (19 Jul 2026) it ended Ogre United 0–4 BFC Daugavpils. The last 3 head-to-heads: BFC Daugavpils 3 wins, Ogre United 0, draws 0. Those games averaged 3.7 goals and saw GG land 2 times.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give BFC Daugavpils 3.0 xG, Ogre United 1.5 xG – a total near 4.6. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 72% and GG at 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – BFC Daugavpils 67%, draw 17%, Ogre United 16%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (72%, odds 1.53 – longer than our fair 1.39, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: BFC Daugavpils 3–1 Ogre United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
BFC Daugavpils67%fair 1.49 · @1.27
Draw17%fair 5.77 · @4.75
Ogre United16%fair 6.45 · @9.00
4.57Expected goals
3.05BFC Daugavpils xG
1.53Ogre United xG
58%Both score
72%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
3–17%
2–17%
3–26%
4–16%
2–26%
3–05%
From our goals model: BFC Daugavpils 3.0 – 1.5 Ogre United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for BFC Daugavpils vs Ogre United?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win BFC Daugavpils vs Ogre United?
On our numbers BFC Daugavpils have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Ogre United 16%.
How many goals will there be in BFC Daugavpils vs Ogre United?
We expect about 4.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 72% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for BFC Daugavpils vs Ogre United?
Our predicted score is BFC Daugavpils 3–1 Ogre United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.6 goals in total.
When is BFC Daugavpils vs Ogre United?
BFC Daugavpils vs Ogre United (Cup) kicks off on Friday 14 August 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadions Celtnieks.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Cup · Latvia · Stadions Celtnieks
