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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Auda v Grobiņa: numbers & prediction

Cup · Latvia · Skonto stadions

Auda

LWWWW
2–2
FTAET 3–2
Auda 61%Draw 24%Grobiņa 15% Expected goals 0.85 – 0.15
61%
Betarazi pick

Auda to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.57Odds
NG

Value bet: Not both teams to score @ 2.20 – our chance 54% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultAuda to win ✗61% · @1.57
Double chanceAuda or draw ✓85% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · @2.20
GoalsUnder 1.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗31% · fair 3.20

Auda vs Grobiņa: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Auda welcome Grobiņa to Skonto stadions for a Cup fixture on Monday 17 August (16:00 WAT).

Current form

Auda, last 5: LWWWW Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Dinamo Tirana, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Grobiņa, last 5: LLDLW Their latest outing: 1–6 defeat to Rīgas FS, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.5 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Auda, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.2 for Grobiņa.

Head to head

When they last met (25 Jun 2026) it ended Grobiņa 1–0 Auda. The last 2 head-to-heads: Auda 1 win, Grobiņa 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 4.0 goals.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Auda 0.8 xG, Grobiņa 0.2 xG – a total near 1.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 92%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Auda 61%, draw 24%, Grobiņa 15%.
  • Lower-risk option: Auda or draw (85%) at 1.17.
  • GG/NG: NG (54%) at 2.20.
  • Price worth noting: Not both teams to score @2.20 – the bookmaker implies 45%, our ratings say 54%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Auda to win (61%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Auda 1–0 Grobiņa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Auda61%fair 1.65 · @1.57
Draw24%fair 4.16 · @3.90
Grobiņa15%fair 6.59 · @4.40
1.00Expected goals
0.85Auda xG
0.15Grobiņa xG
46%Both score
8%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–037%
1–031%
2–013%
0–16%
1–15%
3–04%

From our goals model: Auda 0.8 – 0.2 Grobiņa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAuda to win ✗61%1.651.57
Double chanceAuda or draw ✓85%1.181.17
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗54%1.842.20 ▲
Draw no betAuda (draw no bet)80%1.25–
Asian handicapGrobiņa +1 (Asian handicap) ✓72%1.39–
Over/under 1.5 goalsUnder 1.5 goals ✗74%1.36–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗92%1.09–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗98%1.02–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓100%1.00–
First team to scoreAuda to score first ✓54%1.86–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗66%1.51–
Half-time / full-timeHT Draw / FT Draw ✗39%2.55–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗31%3.20–

Recent results

Auda – last 6

LWWWWW
13 Aug@ Dinamo Tirana0–4L
9 Aug@ FS Jelgava1–0W
4 Augvs Dinamo Tirana1–0W
30 Julvs FCSB4–1W
26 Julvs BFC Daugavpils1–0W
23 Jul@ FCSB3–2W
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Grobiņa – last 6

LLDLWW
10 Aug@ Rīgas FS1–6L
2 Aug@ Riga0–4L
27 Julvs Ogre United2–2D
20 Jul@ Super Nova0–2L
12 Jul@ Mārupe1–0W
5 Julvs Tukums3–1W
1.2Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

25 Jun 2026Grobiņa v Auda1–0
7 May 2026Auda v Grobiņa7–0
Auda vs Grobiņa head-to-head page →

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Auda vs Grobiņa?

Our pick is Auda to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.

Who will win Auda vs Grobiņa?

On our numbers Auda have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Grobiņa 15%.

How many goals will there be in Auda vs Grobiņa?

We expect about 1.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 8% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Auda vs Grobiņa?

Our predicted score is Auda 1–0 Grobiņa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.0 goals in total.

When is Auda vs Grobiņa?

Auda vs Grobiņa (Cup) kicks off on Monday 17 August 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Skonto stadions.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.