Value bet: Club Leon U21 to win @ 2.50 – our chance 44% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultClub Leon U21 to win ✗44% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✗80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · fair 1.97
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–3 ✗3% · fair 29.80
Necaxa U21 vs Club Leon U21: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
16:00 WAT, Monday 17 August: Necaxa U21 v Club Leon U21 in the Liga MX U21. In the table, Necaxa U21 are 4th, among the top four, on 27 points after 16 matches; Club Leon U21 are 2nd (among the top four) with 36.
Current form
Necaxa U21, last 5: LLDWW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Toluca U21, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Club Leon U21, last 5: LDWWD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Club Tijuana U21, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Necaxa U21 1.2 xG, Club Leon U21 1.4 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 49%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Necaxa U21 36%, draw 20%, Club Leon U21 44%.
Price worth noting: Club Leon U21 to win @2.50 – the bookmaker implies 40%, our ratings say 44%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (52%, odds 1.73). Most likely score in line with that pick: Necaxa U21 1–2 Club Leon U21. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Necaxa U2136%fair 2.80 · @2.30
Draw20%fair 4.99 · @3.60
Club Leon U2144%fair 2.26 · @2.50
2.68Expected goals
1.25Necaxa U21 xG
1.43Club Leon U21 xG
49%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–09%
2–18%
0–27%
From our goals model: Necaxa U21 1.2 – 1.4 Club Leon U21 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Club Leon U21 to win✗
44%
2.26
2.50 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
80%
1.25
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.97
–
Draw no bet
Club Leon U21 (draw no bet)
55%
1.81
–
Asian handicap
Necaxa U21 +1 (Asian handicap)✓
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.91
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.16
–
First team to score
Club Leon U21 to score first
50%
2.01
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Club Leon U21 / FT Club Leon U21✗
24%
4.12
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–3✗
3%
29.80
–
Recent results
Necaxa U21 – last 6
LLDWWL
2 Aug
@ Toluca U21
0–2
L
26 Jul
vs Monterrey U21
0–3
L
16 Jul
vs Atlante U21
1–1
D
3 Apr
vs Mazatlan FC U21
1–0
W
27 Mar
vs UNAM Pumas U21
1–0
W
17 Mar
@ Puebla U21
2–3
L
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Club Leon U21 – last 6
LDWWDL
8 Aug
@ Club Tijuana U21
0–1
L
1 Aug
vs Pachuca U21
2–2
D
17 Jul
vs Atlas U21
1–0
W
21 Apr
vs Club America U21
3–1
W
10 Apr
@ Puebla U21
0–0
D
18 Mar
@ Guadalajara Chivas U21
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Necaxa U21 and Club Leon U21.
What is the prediction for Necaxa U21 vs Club Leon U21?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Necaxa U21 vs Club Leon U21?
On our numbers Necaxa U21 have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Club Leon U21 44%.
How many goals will there be in Necaxa U21 vs Club Leon U21?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Necaxa U21 vs Club Leon U21?
Our predicted score is Necaxa U21 1–2 Club Leon U21, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Necaxa U21 vs Club Leon U21?
Necaxa U21 vs Club Leon U21 (Liga MX U21) kicks off on Monday 17 August 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
