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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Queretaro U21 v Toluca U21: numbers & prediction

Liga MX U21 · Mexico
0–2
FT
Queretaro U21 16%Draw 19%Toluca U21 65% Expected goals 0.80 – 1.92
65%
Betarazi pick

Toluca U21 to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.57Odds

Picks by market

ResultToluca U21 to win ✓65% · @1.57
Double chanceToluca U21 or draw ✓84% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · fair 1.89
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–3 ✗8% · fair 12.93

Queretaro U21 vs Toluca U21: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Queretaro U21 welcome Toluca U21 for a Liga MX U21 fixture on Friday 21 August (16:00 WAT). In the table, Queretaro U21 are 18th, in the drop zone, on 12 points after 15 matches; Toluca U21 are 1st (leading the league) with 46. There are 34 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Queretaro U21, last 5: LWLLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to UNAM Pumas U21, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Toluca U21, last 5: DWDDW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Atlante U21, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Queretaro U21 0.8 xG, Toluca U21 1.9 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 47%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Queretaro U21 16%, draw 19%, Toluca U21 65%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Toluca U21 to win (65%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Queretaro U21 0–1 Toluca U21. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Queretaro U2116%fair 6.21 · @4.50
Draw19%fair 5.22 · @3.90
Toluca U2165%fair 1.54 · @1.57
2.72Expected goals
0.80Queretaro U21 xG
1.92Toluca U21 xG
47%Both score
54%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–113%
0–212%
1–110%
1–210%
0–38%
0–07%

From our goals model: Queretaro U21 0.8 – 1.9 Toluca U21 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultToluca U21 to win ✓65%1.541.57
Double chanceToluca U21 or draw ✓84%1.191.12
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓53%1.89–
Draw no betToluca U21 (draw no bet) ✓80%1.25–
Asian handicapToluca U21 -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓64%1.57–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75%1.32–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗54%1.861.67
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓71%1.41–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓86%1.16–
First team to scoreToluca U21 to score first ✓66%1.52–
Half-time resultToluca U21 ahead at half-time ✗45%2.20–
Half-time / full-timeHT Toluca U21 / FT Toluca U21 ✗40%2.47–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–3 ✗8%12.93–

Recent results

Queretaro U21 – last 6

LWLLWW
16 Aug@ UNAM Pumas U211–2L
1 Augvs Tigres UANL U214–0W
26 Jul@ Pachuca U210–1L
18 Julvs Club America U210–2L
24 Apr@ Puebla U212–1W
17 Apr@ Mazatlan FC U214–0W
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Toluca U21 – last 6

DWDDWL
15 Aug@ Atlante U210–0D
2 Augvs Necaxa U212–0W
21 Julvs UNAM Pumas U211–1D
18 Jul@ Guadalajara Chivas U212–2D
29 Aprvs Juarez U213–0W
22 Apr@ Mazatlan FC U211–2L
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Queretaro U21 and Toluca U21.

Queretaro U21 vs Toluca U21 head-to-head page →

Liga MX U21 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Toluca U21161510+2946
2Club Leon U21161204+536
3Guadalajara Chivas U2116907+127
4Necaxa U2116907-227
5Puebla U2116826+326
6Club America U2116817+325
7Juarez U2116817+125
8Atl. San Luis U2116808-324
9Atlante U2116808-424
10Club Tijuana U2116727-323
11Monterrey U2115717+422
12UNAM Pumas U2116628-120
13Santos Laguna U2116619-519
14Cruz Azul U2116619-719
15Pachuca U21166010-318
16Tigres UANL U21165110-616
17Atlas U21164111-713
18Queretaro U21154011-512

More Liga MX U21 predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Queretaro U21 vs Toluca U21?

Our pick is Toluca U21 to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.

Who will win Queretaro U21 vs Toluca U21?

On our numbers Queretaro U21 have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Toluca U21 65%.

How many goals will there be in Queretaro U21 vs Toluca U21?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Queretaro U21 vs Toluca U21?

Our predicted score is Queretaro U21 0–1 Toluca U21, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Queretaro U21 vs Toluca U21?

Queretaro U21 vs Toluca U21 (Liga MX U21) kicks off on Friday 21 August 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.