Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.70 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.70Odds
Picks by market
ResultToluca U21 to win ✓65% · @1.70
Double chanceToluca U21 or draw ✓87% · @1.18
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · fair 1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗8% · fair 12.01
Toluca U21 vs Atlas U21: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
16:00 WAT, Saturday 12 September: Toluca U21 v Atlas U21 in the Liga MX U21. In the table, Toluca U21 are 1st, leading the league, on 46 points after 16 matches; Atlas U21 are 17th (in the drop zone) with 13. There are 33 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Toluca U21, last 5: WWDWD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Juarez U21, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Atlas U21, last 5: WWDWL Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Atlante U21, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Toluca U21 1.9 xG, Atlas U21 0.7 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 46%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Toluca U21 65%, draw 22%, Atlas U21 13%.
Lower-risk option: Toluca U21 or draw (87%) at 1.18.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Toluca U21 to win (65%, odds 1.70 – longer than our fair 1.54, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Toluca U21 1–0 Atlas U21. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Toluca U2165%fair 1.54 · @1.70
Draw22%fair 4.56 · @3.70
Atlas U2113%fair 7.63 · @3.90
2.57Expected goals
1.87Toluca U21 xG
0.70Atlas U21 xG
46%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
3–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: Toluca U21 1.9 – 0.7 Atlas U21 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Toluca U21 to win✓
65%
1.54
1.70 ▲
Double chance
Toluca U21 or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.18
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
54%
1.85
–
Draw no bet
Toluca U21 (draw no bet)✓
83%
1.20
–
Asian handicap
Toluca U21 -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.97
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
–
First team to score
Toluca U21 to score first✓
67%
1.49
–
Half-time result
Toluca U21 ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Toluca U21 / FT Toluca U21✓
41%
2.41
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–0✗
8%
12.01
–
Recent results
Toluca U21 – last 6
WWDWDD
30 Aug
vs Juarez U21
2–1
W
21 Aug
@ Queretaro U21
2–0
W
15 Aug
@ Atlante U21
0–0
D
2 Aug
vs Necaxa U21
2–0
W
21 Jul
vs UNAM Pumas U21
1–1
D
18 Jul
@ Guadalajara Chivas U21
2–2
D
1.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Atlas U21 – last 6
WWDWLD
5 Sep
vs Atlante U21
4–0
W
29 Aug
vs Queretaro U21
2–0
W
22 Aug
@ Cruz Azul U21
2–2
D
15 Aug
vs Tigres UANL U21
2–0
W
1 Aug
vs Monterrey U21
0–1
L
25 Jul
@ Santos Laguna U21
0–0
D
1.7Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Toluca U21 and Atlas U21.
What is the prediction for Toluca U21 vs Atlas U21?
Our pick is Toluca U21 to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Toluca U21 vs Atlas U21?
On our numbers Toluca U21 have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Atlas U21 13%.
How many goals will there be in Toluca U21 vs Atlas U21?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Toluca U21 vs Atlas U21?
Our predicted score is Toluca U21 1–0 Atlas U21, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Toluca U21 vs Atlas U21?
Toluca U21 vs Atlas U21 (Liga MX U21) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
