Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Guadalajara Chivas U21 to win @ 1.95 – our chance 60% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultGuadalajara Chivas U21 to win ✗60% · @1.95
Double chanceGuadalajara Chivas U21 or draw ✓81% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · fair 1.81
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.70
Guadalajara Chivas U21 vs UNAM Pumas U21: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Guadalajara Chivas U21 welcome UNAM Pumas U21 for a Liga MX U21 fixture on Sunday 13 September (16:00 WAT). In the table, Guadalajara Chivas U21 are 3rd, among the top four, on 27 points after 16 matches; UNAM Pumas U21 are 12th (lower half) with 20.
Current form
Guadalajara Chivas U21, last 5: WDLWD Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Atl. San Luis U21, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
UNAM Pumas U21, last 5: DLLWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Club Leon U21, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Guadalajara Chivas U21, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.8 for UNAM Pumas U21.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Guadalajara Chivas U21 1.8 xG, UNAM Pumas U21 0.8 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 45%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Guadalajara Chivas U21 60%, draw 22%, UNAM Pumas U21 19%.
Lower-risk option: Guadalajara Chivas U21 or draw (81%) at 1.25.
Price worth noting: Guadalajara Chivas U21 to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 60%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Guadalajara Chivas U21 or draw (81%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Guadalajara Chivas U21 1–0 UNAM Pumas U21. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Guadalajara Chivas U2160%fair 1.68 · @1.95
Draw22%fair 4.64 · @3.30
UNAM Pumas U2119%fair 5.32 · @3.30
2.60Expected goals
1.75Guadalajara Chivas U21 xG
0.85UNAM Pumas U21 xG
45%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
2–011%
1–111%
2–110%
0–07%
3–07%
From our goals model: Guadalajara Chivas U21 1.8 – 0.8 UNAM Pumas U21 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Guadalajara Chivas U21 to win✗
60%
1.68
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Guadalajara Chivas U21 or draw✓
81%
1.23
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
55%
1.81
–
Draw no bet
Guadalajara Chivas U21 (draw no bet)
76%
1.31
–
Asian handicap
UNAM Pumas U21 +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
73%
1.36
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.89
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
First team to score
Guadalajara Chivas U21 to score first✗
62%
1.60
–
Half-time result
Guadalajara Chivas U21 ahead at half-time✗
42%
2.39
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Guadalajara Chivas U21 / FT Guadalajara Chivas U21✗
37%
2.74
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.70
–
Recent results
Guadalajara Chivas U21 – last 6
WDLWDD
5 Sep
@ Atl. San Luis U21
3–1
W
29 Aug
@ Pachuca U21
2–2
D
22 Aug
vs Club Tijuana U21
1–2
L
16 Aug
@ Santos Laguna U21
1–0
W
31 Jul
@ Puebla U21
0–0
D
18 Jul
vs Toluca U21
2–2
D
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
UNAM Pumas U21 – last 6
DLLWLD
6 Sep
vs Club Leon U21
1–1
D
29 Aug
@ Club Tijuana U21
1–2
L
23 Aug
vs Necaxa U21
0–1
L
16 Aug
vs Queretaro U21
2–1
W
31 Jul
@ Juarez U21
0–1
L
21 Jul
@ Toluca U21
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Guadalajara Chivas U21 and UNAM Pumas U21.
What is the prediction for Guadalajara Chivas U21 vs UNAM Pumas U21?
Our pick is Guadalajara Chivas U21 or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Guadalajara Chivas U21 vs UNAM Pumas U21?
On our numbers Guadalajara Chivas U21 have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 22% and UNAM Pumas U21 19%.
How many goals will there be in Guadalajara Chivas U21 vs UNAM Pumas U21?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Guadalajara Chivas U21 vs UNAM Pumas U21?
Our predicted score is Guadalajara Chivas U21 1–0 UNAM Pumas U21, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Guadalajara Chivas U21 vs UNAM Pumas U21?
Guadalajara Chivas U21 vs UNAM Pumas U21 (Liga MX U21) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
