Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · fair 1.94
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.33
Cruz Azul U21 vs Toluca U21: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Cruz Azul U21 welcome Toluca U21 for a Liga MX U21 fixture on Saturday 26 September (16:00 WAT). In the table, Cruz Azul U21 are 14th, lower half, on 19 points after 16 matches; Toluca U21 are 1st (leading the league) with 46. There are 27 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Cruz Azul U21, last 5: LLWLD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Monterrey U21, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Toluca U21, last 5: WWWWD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Santos Laguna U21, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Toluca U21, collecting 2.7 points per game to 0.8 for Cruz Azul U21.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Cruz Azul U21 1.2 xG, Toluca U21 1.4 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Cruz Azul U21 34%, draw 22%, Toluca U21 44%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (52%, odds 1.75). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cruz Azul U21 1–1 Toluca U21. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Cruz Azul U2134%fair 2.91 · @2.75
Draw22%fair 4.65 · @3.30
Toluca U2144%fair 2.27 · @2.20
2.67Expected goals
1.23Cruz Azul U21 xG
1.44Toluca U21 xG
51%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–09%
2–18%
0–27%
From our goals model: Cruz Azul U21 1.2 – 1.4 Toluca U21 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Toluca U21 to win✓
44%
2.27
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.27
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.94
–
Draw no bet
Toluca U21 (draw no bet)✓
56%
1.78
–
Asian handicap
Cruz Azul U21 +1 (Asian handicap)
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.92
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
Toluca U21 to score first
50%
1.99
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Toluca U21 / FT Toluca U21✗
25%
4.06
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.33
–
Recent results
Cruz Azul U21 – last 6
LLWLDD
19 Sep
@ Monterrey U21
0–2
L
12 Sep
vs Club America U21
1–2
L
6 Sep
vs Santos Laguna U21
4–0
W
28 Aug
@ Necaxa U21
1–2
L
22 Aug
vs Atlas U21
2–2
D
16 Aug
@ Club Tijuana U21
0–0
D
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Toluca U21 – last 6
WWWWDW
20 Sep
vs Santos Laguna U21
2–1
W
12 Sep
vs Atlas U21
2–0
W
30 Aug
vs Juarez U21
2–1
W
21 Aug
@ Queretaro U21
2–0
W
15 Aug
@ Atlante U21
0–0
D
2 Aug
vs Necaxa U21
2–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cruz Azul U21 and Toluca U21.
What is the prediction for Cruz Azul U21 vs Toluca U21?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Cruz Azul U21 vs Toluca U21?
On our numbers Cruz Azul U21 have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Toluca U21 44%.
How many goals will there be in Cruz Azul U21 vs Toluca U21?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cruz Azul U21 vs Toluca U21?
Our predicted score is Cruz Azul U21 1–1 Toluca U21, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Cruz Azul U21 vs Toluca U21?
Cruz Azul U21 vs Toluca U21 (Liga MX U21) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
