Good pick · fair odds 1.72 · bookmaker 1.90 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.90Odds
Picks by market
ResultPachuca U21 to win ✗58% · @1.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · fair 1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗6% · fair 16.53
Pachuca U21 vs Necaxa U21: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Necaxa U21 travel to face Pachuca U21 on Sunday 11 October in the Liga MX U21 – the ball rolls at 16:15 WAT. In the table, Pachuca U21 are 15th, lower half, on 18 points after 16 matches; Necaxa U21 are 4th (among the top four) with 27.
Current form
Pachuca U21, last 5: LWDDD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Santos Laguna U21, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Necaxa U21, last 5: WLLDW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Club America U21, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Necaxa U21, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for Pachuca U21.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Pachuca U21 1.8 xG, Necaxa U21 1.0 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 46%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Pachuca U21 58%, draw 20%, Necaxa U21 22%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Pachuca U21 to win (58%, odds 1.90 – longer than our fair 1.72, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Pachuca U21 1–0 Necaxa U21. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Pachuca U2158%fair 1.72 · @1.90
Draw20%fair 4.97 · @3.40
Necaxa U2122%fair 4.59 · @3.40
2.72Expected goals
1.77Pachuca U21 xG
0.95Necaxa U21 xG
46%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
0–07%
0–16%
From our goals model: Pachuca U21 1.8 – 1.0 Necaxa U21 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Pachuca U21 to win✗
58%
1.72
1.90 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.25
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
54%
1.85
–
Draw no bet
Pachuca U21 (draw no bet)✗
73%
1.37
–
Asian handicap
Necaxa U21 +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.88
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
First team to score
Pachuca U21 to score first✗
61%
1.65
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.45
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Pachuca U21 / FT Pachuca U21✗
35%
2.86
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–0✗
6%
16.53
–
Recent results
Pachuca U21 – last 6
LWDDDD
26 Sep
@ Santos Laguna U21
0–2
L
20 Sep
vs Club Tijuana U21
2–1
W
11 Sep
@ Atlante U21
0–0
D
4 Sep
@ Juarez U21
1–1
D
29 Aug
vs Guadalajara Chivas U21
2–2
D
23 Aug
@ Atl. San Luis U21
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Necaxa U21 – last 6
WLLDWW
27 Sep
vs Club America U21
1–0
W
19 Sep
@ Atl. San Luis U21
2–3
L
11 Sep
vs Puebla U21
0–2
L
5 Sep
@ Tigres UANL U21
0–0
D
28 Aug
vs Cruz Azul U21
2–1
W
23 Aug
@ UNAM Pumas U21
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pachuca U21 and Necaxa U21.
What is the prediction for Pachuca U21 vs Necaxa U21?
Our pick is Pachuca U21 to win with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.90.
Who will win Pachuca U21 vs Necaxa U21?
On our numbers Pachuca U21 have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Necaxa U21 22%.
How many goals will there be in Pachuca U21 vs Necaxa U21?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pachuca U21 vs Necaxa U21?
Our predicted score is Pachuca U21 1–0 Necaxa U21, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Pachuca U21 vs Necaxa U21?
Pachuca U21 vs Necaxa U21 (Liga MX U21) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 16:15 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
