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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Necaxa U21 v Atlas U21: numbers & prediction

Liga MX U21 · Mexico
1–2
FT
Necaxa U21 43%Draw 21%Atlas U21 35% Expected goals 1.38 – 1.21
50%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.98 · bookmaker 1.95 · Lost ✗

3/10Rating
1.95Odds

Picks by market

ResultNecaxa U21 to win ✗43% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · fair 1.90
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10% · fair 9.65

Necaxa U21 vs Atlas U21: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Friday 16 October the Liga MX U21 brings Necaxa U21 against Atlas U21. Kick-off: 16:00 WAT. In the table, Necaxa U21 are 4th, among the top four, on 27 points after 16 matches; Atlas U21 are 17th (in the drop zone) with 13. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Necaxa U21, last 5: WWLLD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Pachuca U21, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Atlas U21, last 5: LDLLW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Guadalajara Chivas U21, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Necaxa U21, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for Atlas U21.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Necaxa U21 1.4 xG, Atlas U21 1.2 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 47%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Necaxa U21 43%, draw 21%, Atlas U21 35%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (50%, odds 1.95). Most likely score in line with that pick: Necaxa U21 1–1 Atlas U21. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Necaxa U2143%fair 2.31 · @2.25
Draw21%fair 4.70 · @3.40
Atlas U2135%fair 2.83 · @2.70
2.59Expected goals
1.38Necaxa U21 xG
1.21Atlas U21 xG
47%Both score
50%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–010%
0–19%
2–19%
1–28%
0–08%

From our goals model: Necaxa U21 1.4 – 1.2 Atlas U21 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultNecaxa U21 to win ✗43%2.312.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.271.25
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗53%1.90–
Draw no betNecaxa U21 (draw no bet) ✗55%1.82–
Asian handicapAtlas U21 +1 (Asian handicap) ✓76%1.32–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73%1.37–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗50%1.981.95
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74%1.35–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓88%1.14–
First team to scoreNecaxa U21 to score first49%2.03–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓43%2.31–
Half-time / full-timeHT Necaxa U21 / FT Necaxa U21 ✗24%4.20–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10%9.65–

Recent results

Necaxa U21 – last 6

WWLLDW
11 Oct@ Pachuca U211–0W
27 Sepvs Club America U211–0W
19 Sep@ Atl. San Luis U212–3L
11 Sepvs Puebla U210–2L
5 Sep@ Tigres UANL U210–0D
28 Augvs Cruz Azul U212–1W
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Atlas U21 – last 6

LDLLWW
10 Octvs Guadalajara Chivas U210–2L
25 Sep@ Club Tijuana U212–2D
19 Sepvs UNAM Pumas U211–2L
12 Sep@ Toluca U210–2L
5 Sepvs Atlante U214–0W
29 Augvs Queretaro U212–0W
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Necaxa U21 and Atlas U21.

Necaxa U21 vs Atlas U21 head-to-head page →

Liga MX U21 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Toluca U21161510+2946
2Club Leon U21161204+536
3Guadalajara Chivas U2116907+127
4Necaxa U2116907-227
5Puebla U2116826+326
6Club America U2116817+325
7Juarez U2116817+125
8Atl. San Luis U2116808-324
9Atlante U2116808-424
10Club Tijuana U2116727-323
11Monterrey U2115717+422
12UNAM Pumas U2116628-120
13Santos Laguna U2116619-519
14Cruz Azul U2116619-719
15Pachuca U21166010-318
16Tigres UANL U21165110-616
17Atlas U21164111-713
18Queretaro U21154011-512

More Liga MX U21 predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Necaxa U21 vs Atlas U21?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 50% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.

Who will win Necaxa U21 vs Atlas U21?

On our numbers Necaxa U21 have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Atlas U21 35%.

How many goals will there be in Necaxa U21 vs Atlas U21?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Necaxa U21 vs Atlas U21?

Our predicted score is Necaxa U21 1–1 Atlas U21, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Necaxa U21 vs Atlas U21?

Necaxa U21 vs Atlas U21 (Liga MX U21) kicks off on Friday 16 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.