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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Toluca U21 v Monterrey U21: numbers & prediction

Liga MX U21 · Mexico
5–1
FT
Toluca U21 67%Draw 21%Monterrey U21 12% Expected goals 2.28 – 0.91
67%
Betarazi pick

Toluca U21 to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.42 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.42Odds

Picks by market

ResultToluca U21 to win ✓67% · @1.42
Double chanceToluca U21 or draw ✓88% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.27

Toluca U21 vs Monterrey U21: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Toluca U21 welcome Monterrey U21 for a Liga MX U21 fixture on Saturday 7 November (16:00 WAT). In the table, Toluca U21 are 1st, leading the league, on 46 points after 16 matches; Monterrey U21 are 11th (lower half) with 22. There are 24 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Toluca U21, last 5: DWWWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Club America U21, away. The attack is flying at 3.0 goals per game.

Monterrey U21, last 5: WWDDL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Club Tijuana U21, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.5 goals per game.

Momentum favours Toluca U21, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.3 for Monterrey U21.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Toluca U21 2.3 xG, Monterrey U21 0.9 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 61% and GG at 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Toluca U21 67%, draw 21%, Monterrey U21 12%.
  • GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.73.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Toluca U21 to win (67%, odds 1.42). Most likely score in line with that pick: Toluca U21 2–0 Monterrey U21. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Toluca U2167%fair 1.50 · @1.42
Draw21%fair 4.69 · @4.80
Monterrey U2112%fair 8.33 · @5.90
3.19Expected goals
2.28Toluca U21 xG
0.91Monterrey U21 xG
56%Both score
61%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–011%
2–110%
1–09%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%

From our goals model: Toluca U21 2.3 – 0.9 Monterrey U21 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultToluca U21 to win ✓67%1.501.42
Double chanceToluca U21 or draw ✓88%1.141.10
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓56%1.781.73
Draw no betToluca U21 (draw no bet) ✓85%1.18–
Asian handicapToluca U21 -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓68%1.47–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81%1.231.15
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓61%1.651.60
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗61%1.641.48
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗78%1.281.16
First team to scoreToluca U21 to score first69%1.46–
Half-time resultToluca U21 ahead at half-time50%2.00–
Half-time / full-timeHT Toluca U21 / FT Toluca U2145%2.22–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.27–

Recent results

Toluca U21 – last 6

DWWWWW
31 Oct@ Club America U210–0D
24 Oct@ Club Leon U214–1W
21 Octvs Club Tijuana U215–0W
17 Octvs Atl. San Luis U214–1W
9 Oct@ Tigres UANL U212–1W
26 Sep@ Cruz Azul U213–2W
3.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Monterrey U21 – last 6

WWDDLL
31 Octvs Club Tijuana U213–0W
24 Octvs Guadalajara Chivas U214–1W
21 Oct@ Puebla U212–2D
18 Octvs Pachuca U212–2D
10 Oct@ Club America U210–3L
25 Sep@ Atlante U214–5L
2.5Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Toluca U21 and Monterrey U21.

Toluca U21 vs Monterrey U21 head-to-head page →

Liga MX U21 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Toluca U21161510+2946
2Club Leon U21161204+536
3Guadalajara Chivas U2116907+127
4Necaxa U2116907-227
5Puebla U2116826+326
6Club America U2116817+325
7Juarez U2116817+125
8Atl. San Luis U2116808-324
9Atlante U2116808-424
10Club Tijuana U2116727-323
11Monterrey U2115717+422
12UNAM Pumas U2116628-120
13Santos Laguna U2116619-519
14Cruz Azul U2116619-719
15Pachuca U21166010-318
16Tigres UANL U21165110-616
17Atlas U21164111-713
18Queretaro U21154011-512

More Liga MX U21 predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Toluca U21 vs Monterrey U21?

Our pick is Toluca U21 to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.

Who will win Toluca U21 vs Monterrey U21?

On our numbers Toluca U21 have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Monterrey U21 12%.

How many goals will there be in Toluca U21 vs Monterrey U21?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Toluca U21 vs Monterrey U21?

Our predicted score is Toluca U21 2–0 Monterrey U21, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.

When is Toluca U21 vs Monterrey U21?

Toluca U21 vs Monterrey U21 (Liga MX U21) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.